The Phoenix Suns are favored by 2 points heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Footprint Center on Thursday, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2. The matchup has an over/under of 226.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Thursday’s game, find out the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Nuggets (+2) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Suns taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (0.8 points). Lean towards taking the Nuggets.
- Denver has a 44-37-1 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 2-point underdogs this season, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 11-5.
- Phoenix’s ATS record is 42-39-1 this season.
- The Suns have an ATS record of 23-16-1 when playing as at least 2-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 226
- DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.7 points of each other.
- In 41 games this season, Phoenix and its opponent have combined for more than 226 points.
- There have been 50 Denver’s games this season with more than 226 points scored.
- So far this season, 41 out of the Suns’ 82 games have gone over the point total.
- A total of 37 Nuggets games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Suns (-130)
- Prediction: Suns 114, Nuggets 113
- This season, Phoenix has been favored 50 times and won 36, or 72%, of those games.
- Denver has won in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Devin Booker Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- Devin Booker posts 27.8 points, 4.5 boards and 5.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.3 blocks.
- He averages 1.0 fewer rebound than his prop bet Thursday of 5.5.
- He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in 25 of 51 games with a prop so far this season.
- The Nuggets are 18th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43) and best in rebounds conceded (40.8).
See all available player props for Devin Booker and other Suns players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Nikola Jokic Points Prop: Under 30.5
- On a per-game basis, Nikola Jokic gives the Nuggets 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
- The 30.5-point prop total for Jokic on Thursday is 6.0 higher than his scoring average, which is 24.5.
- Jokic has gone over 32 times on a points prop this season (in 70 opportunities).
- This season, the Suns are posting 113.6 points per game (17th-ranked in NBA) and allowing 111.6 points per contest (sixth-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Nikola Jokic and other Nuggets players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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