The Boston Celtics are favored by 2.5 points heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo Center on Thursday, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN. The 76ers are ahead in the series 3-2. The matchup has an over/under of 212.5 points.
Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Thursday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: 76ers (+2.5) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the 76ers compared to the DraftKings line, a 3.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Thursday’s game outright. Put your money on the 76ers.
- Philadelphia is 47-34-1 against the spread this season.
- The 76ers have covered the spread nine times this season (9-7 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- Boston is 45-36-1 ATS this season.
- When playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Celtics have an ATS record of 32-33-1.
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Total: Over 212.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (14.5 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Boston and its opponent have broken the 212.5-point mark 65 times this year.
- Philadelphia’s games have had over 212.5 points 57 times this year.
- In the Celtics’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 39 times.
- The 76ers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 45 out of 82 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: 76ers (+120)
- Prediction: 76ers 114, Celtics 113
- Boston has entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 51, or 70.8%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has been victorious in 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Derrick White Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Derrick White puts up 12.4 points, 3.9 assists and 3.6 boards per contest.
- White’s rebounding average of 3.6 is lower than his over/under on Thursday (3.5).
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by bookmakers 33 times this season in 64 games with that prop available.
- The 76ers are the fifth-worst team in the NBA in rebounds per game (40.9) but second-best in rebounds allowed (41.2).
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Tobias Harris Points Prop: Under 13.5
- The 76ers are getting 14.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Tobias Harris this year.
- Harris is putting up 14.7 points per game, 1.2 more than Thursday’s prop total.
- Harris has hit the points prop over at a 28-for-62 clip this season.
- It’s been a dominant stretch for the Celtics, who are scoring 117.9 points per game (fourth-best in NBA) and giving up 111.4 points per contest (fourth-best).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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