Knicks vs. Heat Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 5

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 9, 2023

The Miami Heat take a 3-1 series record into a decisive Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Knicks enter the matchup as favorites by 3.5 points for the game, which airs on TNT at 7:30 PM ET. The over/under is set at 209 in the matchup.

Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, take a loot at the best bets available for Wednesday’s game according to our computer predictions.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Knicks (-3.5) to Cover

  • Both DraftKings and the model expect the Knicks to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (5.0) is 1.5 points further in their direction.
  • New York is 45-36-1 ATS this season.
  • When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Knicks have an ATS record of 15-12.
  • Miami’s ATS record is 30-49-3 this year.
  • The Heat have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more 15 times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those matchups.

Think the Knicks will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 209

  • In this game, the model projects a total (223.0 points) considerably higher than the DraftKings over/under (209 points). Bet on the over.
  • New York and its opponent have broken the 209-point mark 70 times this season.
  • Miami’s games have had over 209 points 63 times this season.
  • The Knicks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 42 out of 82 times this season.
  • A total of 41 Heat games this season have hit the over.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Knicks (-155)

  • Prediction: Knicks 114, Heat 109
  • New York has won 26, or 65%, of the 40 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Miami has been an underdog in 23 games this season and has come away with the win seven times (30.4%) in those contests.

Which team do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Julius Randle Points Prop: Under 22.5

  • Julius Randle puts up 25.1 points, 10.0 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.
  • The 22.5 points prop bet set for Randle on Wednesday is 2.6 fewer points than his season scoring average (25.1).
  • Randle has gone up against a points prop bet in 77 games this season, and he’s gone over 36 times.
  • The Heat are the worst team in the NBA in points scored (109.5 per game) but second-best in points allowed (109.8).

See all available player props for Julius Randle and other Knicks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.

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