The Denver Nuggets bring a 2-0 series record into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Suns are listed as favorites by 4 points for the game, which airs on ESPN at 10:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 225 points.
Trying to make an informed wager on Friday’s game? Find out the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Nuggets (+4) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (0.8 points) is considerably less than the 4-point edge DraftKings gives to the Suns, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Nuggets to cover.
- Denver is 44-37-1 against the spread this season.
- The Nuggets have an ATS record of 8-3 when playing as at least 4-point underdogs this season.
- So far this season, Phoenix has put together a 42-39-1 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Suns have an ATS record of 19-14-1.
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Total: Over 225
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.4 points lower than the model projection.
- Phoenix’s games have had more than 225 points scored on 45 occasions this year.
- Denver’s games have had over 225 points 52 times this season.
- A total of 41 out of the Suns’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
- So far this season, 37 out of the Nuggets’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Suns (-180)
- Prediction: Suns 114, Nuggets 113
- Phoenix has been the favorite in 50 games this season and won 36 (72%) of those contests.
- Denver has won in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Devin Booker Rebounds Prop: Under 4.5
- Devin Booker puts up 27.8 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per contest, shooting 49.4% from the field and 35.1% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made treys per contest.
- His rebound average — 4.5 per game — equals his prop bet on Friday.
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 25 times this season in his 51 games sportsbooks set a prop.
- On the boards, the Nuggets are 18th in the league in rebounds (43 per game). They are best in rebounds conceded (40.8 per game).
Check out all available player props for Devin Booker and other Suns players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Nikola Jokic Points Prop: Under 25.5
- Nikola Jokic provides 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game for the Nuggets.
- The 24.5 points Jokic scores per game are 1.0 less than his prop total on Friday.
- This season Jokic is 32-for-70 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Suns are 17th in the NBA with 113.6 points per game this season. At the other end of the court, they rank sixth with 111.6 points allowed per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Nikola Jokic and other Nuggets players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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