The Boston Celtics are favored by 7.5 points for Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Philadelphia 76ers at TD Garden on Wednesday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The 76ers are leading the series 1-0. The point total for the matchup is set at 215.5.
Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can make on Wednesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: 76ers (+7.5) to Cover
- The Celtics are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (7.5 to 4.3 points). Take the 76ers and the points.
- So far this year, Philadelphia has put together a 47-34-1 record against the spread.
- The 76ers have been an underdog by 7.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in three of those games.
- Boston is 45-36-1 against the spread this season.
- The Celtics have an ATS record of 19-18 when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 215.5
- The model predicts a total (227.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (215.5 points). Take the over.
- In 62 games this year, Boston and its opponent have combined for more than 215.5 points.
- There have been 54 Philadelphia’s games this season with more than 215.5 points scored.
- A total of 39 out of the Celtics’ 82 games this season have gone over the point total.
- So far this season, 45 out of the 76ers’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-325)
- Prediction: Celtics 116, 76ers 112
- This season, Boston has been favored 72 times and won 51, or 70.8%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has won in 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- Jaylen Brown averages 26.6 points, 6.9 boards and 3.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocks.
- He averages 1.4 more rebounds than his prop bet Wednesday of 5.5.
- Bookmakers have set a rebound total for him 67 times this season, and he has hit the over in 33 of those games.
- On the boards, the 76ers are fifth-worst in the NBA in rebounds (40.9 per game). However they are second-best in rebounds conceded (41.2 per game).
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James Harden Points Prop: Under 21.5
- James Harden is putting up 21.0 points, 6.1 rebounds and 10.7 assists per contest. He’s sinking 44.1% of his shots from the field and 38.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 treys per game.
- Harden’s 21.0 points per game average is 0.5 less than Wednesday’s over/under.
- Harden has hit the over 27 times on a points prop this season (in 58 tries).
- The Celtics have been shining at both ends of the court this season, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in points per game (117.9) and fourth-best in points allowed per game (111.4).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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