The Denver Nuggets bring a 1-0 series record into Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets enter the matchup as favorites by 4 points for the game, which airs on TNT at 10:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 229.
If you are trying to gain an edge on Monday’s game, dig into the best bets available for this matchup, in this article (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Nuggets (-4) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Nuggets to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (5.0) is 1.0 point further in their direction.
- Denver has gone 44-37-1 ATS this season.
- The Nuggets are 26-22-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
- Phoenix is 42-39-1 ATS this year.
- The Suns have covered the spread nine times this year (9-8 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
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Total: Under 229
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 2.1 points highter than the model projection.
- Denver’s games have had more than 229 points scored on 40 occasions this season.
- Phoenix’s games have gone over 229 points on 38 occasions this season.
- So far this season, 37 out of the Nuggets’ 82 games have gone over the point total.
- In the Suns’ 82 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-170)
- Prediction: Nuggets 116, Suns 111
- Denver has won 43, or 70.5%, of the 61 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Phoenix has been victorious in eight, or 25.8%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Aaron Gordon Points Prop: Under 14.5
- Aaron Gordon averages 16.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest, shooting 56.4% from the floor.
- Monday’s prop bet for Gordon is 14.5 points, 1.8 fewer than his season average.
- Gordon has exceeded his points prop on 26 occasions this season (in 63 games with such a prop).
- The Suns score 113.6 points per game and allow 111.6, ranking them 17th in the NBA offensively and sixth defensively.
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Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop: Under 9.5
- Deandre Ayton delivers 18.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game for the Suns.
- Ayton averages 0.5 more rebounds than his over/under on Monday (which is 9.5).
- Oddsmakers have listed a rebound over/under for him 66 times this season, and he has gone over in 31 of those games.
- The Nuggets rank best in the NBA by allowing only 40.8 rebounds per game. They rank 18th in the league by averaging 43 rebounds per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Deandre Ayton and other Suns players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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