Nuggets vs. Suns Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 1

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 28, 2023

The Denver Nuggets are favored by 4.5 points for Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Phoenix Suns at Ball Arena on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The point total in the matchup is set at 227.

Trying to make an informed wager on Saturday’s game? See the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in this article.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Suns (+4.5) to Cover

  • The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.2 points of each other.
  • Phoenix is 42-39-1 ATS this year.
  • The Suns have covered the spread seven times this season (7-6 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • Denver is 44-37-1 ATS this season.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread 23 times this season (23-19-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.

Think the Suns will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Under 227

  • The model’s predicted total (226.8 points) and the DraftKings set total (227 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
  • Denver’s games have had more than 227 points scored on 46 occasions this year.
  • There have been 41 Phoenix’s games this season with more than 227 points scored.
  • A total of 37 out of the Nuggets’ 82 games this season have gone over the point total.
  • In the Suns’ 82 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.

Will this matchup go under the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-180)

  • Prediction: Nuggets 116, Suns 111
  • Denver has been the favorite in 61 games this season and won 43 (70.5%) of those contests.
  • Phoenix has won in eight, or 25.8%, of the 31 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.

Which team do you think will end up on top? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Jamal Murray Points Prop: Under 22.5

  • Jamal Murray averages 20.0 points, 6.2 assists and 4.0 boards per contest.
  • The 22.5-point over/under for Murray on Saturday is 2.5 higher than his scoring average on the season (20.0).
  • Murray has had 58 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 28 times.
  • The Suns score 113.6 points per game and allow 111.6, making them 17th in the NBA on offense and sixth defensively.

Check out all available player props for Jamal Murray and other Nuggets players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Devin Booker Rebounds Prop: Under 4.5

  • Devin Booker is averaging 27.8 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. He’s draining 49.4% of his shots from the field and 35.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per contest.
  • Booker’s per-game rebound average — 4.5 — equals his prop bet over/under for Saturday’s game.
  • He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 25 of his 51 games with a prop this season.
  • The Nuggets are averaging 43 boards per game this season (18th-ranked in NBA), and they’ve given up only 40.8 rebounds per contest (best).

Check out the prop bets available for Devin Booker and other Suns players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.

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