The Boston Celtics bring a 3-1 lead into a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Celtics are listed as favorites by 13 points for the game, which will be broadcast on TNT at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 230 points.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Tuesday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Hawks (+13) to Cover
- The model favors the Celtics by 10.5 points, just 2.5 less than the 13-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Atlanta has gone 36-45-1 ATS this year.
- Boston is 45-36-1 ATS this season.
- The Celtics are 3-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 13-point favorites.
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Total: Over 230
- The model projects a total 2.9 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- A total of 42 times so far this season, Boston and its opponent have combined for more than 230 points.
- There have been 55 Atlanta’s games this season with more than 230 points scored.
- A total of 39 out of the Celtics’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
- A total of 46 Hawks games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-950)
- Prediction: Celtics 122, Hawks 111
- This season, Boston has won 51 out of the 72 games, or 70.8%, in which it has been favored.
- Atlanta has won in 12, or 37.5%, of the 32 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Derrick White Points Prop: Over 15.5
- Derrick White puts up 12.4 points, 3.6 boards and 3.9 assists per contest, shooting 46.2% from the floor and 38.1% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.
- The 15.5-point over/under for White on Tuesday is 3.1 higher than his scoring average.
- White has gone over 35 times on a points prop this season (in 65 opportunities).
- The Hawks are the third-best squad in the league in points scored (118.4 per game) and 25th in points allowed (118.1).
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Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop: Under 8.5
- Onyeka Okongwu gives the Hawks 9.9 points, 7.2 rebounds and 1.0 assists per contest while posting 0.7 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.
- The 8.5-point prop total set for Okongwu on Tuesday is 1.4 less than his scoring average on the season (9.9).
- So far this season, Okongwu is 26-for-47 at going over the total set for his points prop.
- The Celtics have been getting things done on both offense and defense this season, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in points per game (117.9) and fourth-best in points allowed per game (111.4).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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