The New York Knicks bring a 3-1 series lead into a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Cavaliers are listed as favorites by 5.5 points for the game, which airs on NBA at 7:00 PM ET. The over/under is 202.5 for the matchup.
Before you make an informed wager on the contest, take a loot at the best bets available for Wednesday’s game according to our computer predictions.
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Spread: Knicks (+5.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Cavaliers by 2.9 points, just 2.6 fewer than the 5.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
- New York’s ATS record is 45-36-1 this season.
- When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this season, the Knicks have an ATS record of 3-6-1.
- Cleveland’s ATS record is 43-37-2 this season.
- When playing as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 18-10-2.
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Total: Over 202.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (20.1 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Cleveland’s games have finished with more than 202.5 points 66 times so far this year.
- So far this year, 74 New York’s games have featured more than 202.5 points scored.
- A total of 40 out of the Cavaliers’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
- So far this season, 42 out of the Knicks’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (-215)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 113, Knicks 110
- This season, Cleveland has won 47 out of the 64 games, or 73.4%, in which it has been favored.
- New York has been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and has walked away with the win 20 times (50%) in those games.
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Evan Mobley Rebounds Prop: Under 9.5
- Evan Mobley averages 16.2 points, 2.8 assists and 9 rebounds per game.
- His rebounding average — nine per game — is 0.5 less than his prop bet for Wednesday’s game (9.5).
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 32 times this season in his 76 games oddsmakers set a prop.
- The Knicks are the second-best squad in the league in rebounds per game (46.6) and are ranked seventh in rebounds conceded (42).
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Julius Randle Points Prop: Under 21.5
- Julius Randle is averaging 25.1 points, 10 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. He’s also draining 45.9% of his shots from the floor and 34.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 triples per game.
- Randle is averaging 25.1 points in the 2022-23 season, 3.6 higher than Wednesday’s prop total.
- This season Randle is 36-for-77 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Cavaliers sport a top-five defense this year, ranking best in the league with 106.9 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 25th with 112.3 points scored per contest.
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All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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