The Los Angeles Clippers will look to pull off an upset as 12.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Phoenix Suns at Footprint Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The Suns are on top 3-1 in the series. The matchup’s point total is set at 225.
Our computer predictions for Tuesday’s game can help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Clippers (+12.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Suns by 6.4 points, a much smaller margin than the 12.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Clippers to cover.
- So far this season, Los Angeles has compiled a 40-42-0 record against the spread.
- Phoenix has a 42-39-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Suns have covered the spread twice this season (2-2 ATS) when playing as at least 12.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 225
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 1.2 points lower than the model projection.
- In 45 games this season, Phoenix and its opponent have combined for more than 225 points.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over 225 points on 40 occasions this year.
- So far this season, 41 out of the Suns’ 82 games have gone over the point total.
- So far this season, 39 out of the Clippers’ 82 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Suns (-800)
- Prediction: Suns 116, Clippers 110
- Phoenix has won 36, or 72%, of the 50 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Los Angeles has been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (30%) in those games.
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Devin Booker Points Prop: Under 30.5
- Devin Booker averages 27.8 points, 5.5 assists and 4.5 boards per contest.
- Booker’s 27.8-point scoring average is 2.7 less than Tuesday’s prop total.
- So far this season, Booker is 21-for-51 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- Offensively the Clippers are the 17th-ranked squad in the NBA (113.6 points per game). On defense they are 12th (113.1 points allowed per game).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2022-23 regular season.
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