The Miami Heat (38-34) visit the Detroit Pistons (16-55) on March 19, 2023 at Little Caesars Arena. The Pistons are underdogs by a 10-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The point total for the contest is 218.5.
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Heat Vs Pistons Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | -10 | 218.5 |
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Injury Report as of March 19
Heat: Cody Zeller: Out (Nose), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)
Pistons: Bojan Bogdanovic: Out (Achilles), Hamidou Diallo: Out (Ankle), Alec Burks: Out (Foot), Isaiah Stewart: Out (Hip), Cade Cunningham: Out (Shin), Isaiah Livers: Questionable (Hip)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Pistons (+10) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (218.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Heat Vs Pistons Stat Rankings
| Heat Avg. (Rank) | Pistons Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 109.0 (30th) | Points Scored | 111.1 (28th) |
| 109.7 (2nd) | Points Allowed | 118.6 (29th) |
| 40.9 (27th) | Rebounds | 42.7 (20th) |
| 9.9 (17th) | Off. Rebounds | 11.3 (9th) |
| 11.7 (17th) | 3pt Made | 11.5 (19th) |
| 23.4 (24th) | Assists | 22.9 (26th) |
| 12.9 (9th) | Turnovers | 14.5 (25th) |
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Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 57 | 22.6 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 67 | 21.0 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Herro | 58 | 20.2 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.0 |
| Max Strus | 70 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Caleb Martin | 61 | 10.1 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Pistons Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey | 63 | 15.4 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 33 | 11.3 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Killian Hayes | 65 | 9.6 | 2.7 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| James Wiseman | 34 | 9.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Jalen Duren | 57 | 8.8 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
Betting Trends
- Against the spread, the Heat are 25-44-3 this year.
- Miami is winless ATS (0-3) when playing as at least 10-point favorites this season.
- There have been 34 Heat games (out of 72) that hit the over this season.
- Miami’s games have finished with more than 218.5 points 34 times so far this season.
- The total for this game is 218.5, and that’s 0.1 points fewer than the average total in Heat games thus far this season.
- The Pistons are 30-38-3 against the spread this season.
- Detroit is 10-9-1 as a 10-point underdog or greater.
- The Pistons have played 71 games this year, and 34 of them have gone over the total.
- There have been 48 Detroit’s games this season with more than 218.5 points scored.
- The average total points scored in Pistons games this year (218.5) is 11.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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