Heat Vs Grizzlies: NBA Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 15, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 14, 2023

The Miami Heat (37-33) host the Memphis Grizzlies (41-26) on March 15, 2023 at FTX Arena. The Heat are favorites, by four points, in a matchup featuring two of the NBA’s strongest defensive teams. The matchup has a 219.5 point total.

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Heat Vs Grizzlies Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -4 219.5

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Injury Report as of March 15

Heat: Cody Zeller: Out (Nose), Kyle Lowry: Questionable (Knee)

Grizzlies: Steven Adams: Out (Knee), Ja Morant: Out (Not With Team), Brandon Clarke: Out (Achilles), Jake LaRavia: Out (Back), Vince Williams Jr.: Out (Right Shoulder)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Grizzlies (+4)
Total Pick Over (219.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat Vs Grizzlies Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Grizzlies Avg. (Rank)
108.7 (30th) Points Scored 115.6 (11th)
109.5 (2nd) Points Allowed 111.6 (5th)
40.9 (27th) Rebounds 47.1 (2nd)
9.9 (18th) Off. Rebounds 12.3 (4th)
11.7 (17th) 3pt Made 11.4 (20th)
23.3 (24th) Assists 25.4 (11th)
12.9 (8th) Turnovers 13.0 (10th)

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 55 22.6 6.1 5.0 1.9 0.4 0.6
Bam Adebayo 65 20.9 9.4 3.2 1.2 0.8 0.0
Tyler Herro 56 20.3 5.7 4.3 0.8 0.3 3.1
Kyle Lowry 46 11.9 4.2 5.2 1.1 0.4 2.1
Max Strus 68 11.7 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.2 2.4

Grizzlies Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Desmond Bane 45 21.3 5.1 4.3 0.9 0.4 2.9
Jaren Jackson Jr. 50 16.8 6.6 0.8 1.0 3.1 1.5
Dillon Brooks 61 14.3 3.3 2.6 0.9 0.2 1.9
Tyus Jones 67 10.1 2.3 4.7 1.0 0.1 1.5
Santi Aldama 64 9.3 4.7 1.2 0.6 0.7 1.3

Betting Trends

  • The Heat have beaten the spread 24 times in 70 games.
  • Miami is 5-19-1 as 4-point favorites or more.
  • There have been 33 Heat games (out of 70) that hit the over this season.
  • In 31 games this season, Miami and its opponent have combined to score more than 219.5 points.
  • The over/under for this game is 219.5 points, 1.3 more than the average point total for Heat games this season.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread 32 times in 67 games.
  • Memphis has won twice ATS (2-5) as a 4-point underdog or more this season.
  • Out of 67 Grizzlies games so far this season, 27 have gone over the total.
  • There have been 46 Memphis’ games this season with more than 219.5 points scored.
  • This season, Grizzlies games have resulted in an average scoring total of 227.2, which is 7.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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