The Miami Heat (35-32) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (42-26) on March 10, 2023 at FTX Arena. The Heat are favorites, by 3.5 points, in a matchup featuring two of the NBA’s top defensive squads. The matchup’s over/under is set at 212.
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Heat Vs Cavaliers Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | -3.5 | 212 |
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Injury Report as of March 10
Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Rib), Duncan Robinson: Out (Illness), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee)
Cavaliers: Darius Garland: Out (Quadricep)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Cavaliers (+3.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (212) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Heat Vs Cavaliers Stat Rankings
| Heat Avg. (Rank) | Cavaliers Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 108.3 (30th) | Points Scored | 111.9 (25th) |
| 109.1 (2nd) | Points Allowed | 106.5 (1st) |
| 41.0 (27th) | Rebounds | 41.8 (23rd) |
| 10.0 (15th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.8 (19th) |
| 11.6 (17th) | 3pt Made | 11.5 (18th) |
| 23.4 (23rd) | Assists | 25.0 (17th) |
| 12.8 (5th) | Turnovers | 12.8 (5th) |
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Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 52 | 22.1 | 6.1 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 62 | 21.2 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Herro | 53 | 20.3 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 3.1 |
| Max Strus | 65 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 |
| Victor Oladipo | 34 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 |
Cavaliers Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | 57 | 27.4 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 3.6 |
| Darius Garland | 58 | 22.0 | 2.7 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.6 |
| Evan Mobley | 66 | 16.1 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Jarrett Allen | 61 | 14.5 | 9.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Caris LeVert | 62 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 |
Betting Trends
- Against the spread, the Heat are 23-41-3 this season.
- Miami has an ATS record of 7-20-1 as 3.5-point favorites or more.
- This season, 30 of the Heat’s 67 games have hit the over.
- In 44 games this season, Miami and its opponent have combined for more than 212 points.
- The over/under in this matchup is 212 points, and that’s 5.4 less than the average total in this season’s Heat contests.
- The Cavaliers are 36-30-2 against the spread this year.
- As a 3.5-point underdog or greater, Cleveland is 3-3 against the spread.
- The Cavaliers have seen 32 of their 68 games hit the over.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over 212 points on 42 occasions this season.
- The average total points scored in Cavaliers games this year (212) is 6.4 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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