Heat Vs Hawks: NBA Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 4, 2023

The Miami Heat (33-31) host the Atlanta Hawks (32-31) on March 4, 2023 at FTX Arena. The Heat are favored, by 2.5 points, in a contest featuring one of the NBA’s top defensive squads in the NBA against one of the best offensive squads. The Heat are second in points allowed per contest (108.8), while the Hawks are fifth in points scored (117.1). The matchup has a 226.5 point total.

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Heat Vs Hawks Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -2.5 226.5

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Injury Report as of March 4

Heat: Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Out (Lower Back)

Hawks: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Hawks (+2.5)
Total Pick Under (226.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat Vs Hawks Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Hawks Avg. (Rank)
108.0 (30th) Points Scored 117.1 (5th)
108.8 (2nd) Points Allowed 116.9 (21st)
41.2 (26th) Rebounds 43.8 (12th)
10.0 (16th) Off. Rebounds 10.6 (13th)
11.6 (17th) 3pt Made 10.8 (22nd)
23.3 (24th) Assists 24.7 (20th)
12.6 (5th) Turnovers 12.3 (4th)

Best Betting Site For Heat vs Hawks

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 49 22.0 5.9 5.0 2.0 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 59 21.2 9.7 3.2 1.2 0.8 0.0
Tyler Herro 50 20.4 5.6 4.4 0.8 0.3 3.0
Max Strus 62 12.2 3.5 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Victor Oladipo 31 10.3 3.4 3.5 1.5 0.2 1.4

Hawks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Trae Young 56 27.0 3.0 10.1 1.1 0.2 2.2
Dejounte Murray 58 21.2 5.4 6.1 1.5 0.3 2.1
De’Andre Hunter 53 15.6 4.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 1.6
Bogdan Bogdanovic 38 14.5 3.3 2.9 0.8 0.4 2.8
Saddiq Bey 58 14.3 4.6 1.5 0.9 0.2 2.0

Betting Trends

  • The Heat have covered the spread 22 times in 64 games.
  • Against the spread as 2.5-point favorites or more, Miami is 8-24-3.
  • The Heat have played 64 games this season, and 29 of them have gone over the total.
  • Miami and its opponent have broken the 226.5-point mark 14 times this season.
  • The over/under for this game is 226.5 points, 9.7 more than the average point total for Heat games this season.
  • The Hawks are 28-34-1 against the spread this season.
  • Atlanta has an ATS record of 11-6-1 as a 2.5-point underdog or more.
  • This season, 35 of the Hawks’ 63 games have gone over the point total.
  • So far this year, 41 Atlanta’s games have featured over 226.5 points scored.
  • This season, Hawks games have resulted in an average scoring total of 234.0, which is 7.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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