Heat Vs 76ers: NBA Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on February 28, 2023

A matchup between two of the top defensive squads in the NBA will see the Miami Heat (33-29) as four-point favorites against the Philadelphia 76ers (39-21) at FTX Arena on March 1, 2023. The Heat are second in points allowed per game (108.5), and the 76ers are third (110.2). A 214.5-point over/under has been installed for this matchup.

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Heat Vs 76ers Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -4 214.5

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Injury Report as of March 1

Heat: Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Out (Lower Back)

76ers: Joel Embiid: Out (Foot), Dewayne Dedmon: Out (Hip)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick 76ers (+4)
Total Pick Over (214.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat Vs 76ers Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) 76ers Avg. (Rank)
108.0 (30th) Points Scored 113.9 (16th)
108.5 (2nd) Points Allowed 110.2 (3rd)
41.4 (26th) Rebounds 40.6 (28th)
10.0 (16th) Off. Rebounds 8.6 (27th)
11.6 (17th) 3pt Made 12.6 (10th)
23.4 (23rd) Assists 24.9 (16th)
12.6 (5th) Turnovers 13.0 (9th)

Best Betting Site For Heat vs 76ers

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 47 21.9 5.9 5.1 2.0 0.3 0.5
Bam Adebayo 57 21.2 9.8 3.2 1.2 0.8 0.0
Tyler Herro 48 20.5 5.7 4.3 0.9 0.3 3.0
Max Strus 60 12.3 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Victor Oladipo 29 10.4 3.3 3.7 1.6 0.2 1.4

76ers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Joel Embiid 48 33.0 10.4 4.1 1.1 1.6 1.0
James Harden 44 21.6 6.2 10.7 1.3 0.6 2.9
Tyrese Maxey 41 19.5 2.8 3.5 0.8 0.1 2.3
Tobias Harris 56 15.3 5.8 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.8
De’Anthony Melton 57 10.4 4.1 2.7 1.6 0.5 2.1

Betting Trends

  • The Heat have 22 wins in 62 games against the spread this year.
  • Miami is 5-17-1 as 4-point favorites or more.
  • The Heat have played 62 games this season, and 27 of them have hit the over.
  • Miami and its opponent have broken the 214.5-point mark 37 times this year.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 214.5 points, and that’s 2.0 less than the average total in this season’s Heat contests.
  • The 76ers have 34 wins in 60 games against the spread this season.
  • Philadelphia’s ATS record as a 4-point underdog or more is 4-2.
  • The 76ers have played 60 games this year, and 33 of them have gone over the total.
  • Philadelphia’s games have had over 214.5 points 40 times this season.
  • The average total points scored in 76ers games this year (214.5) is 9.6 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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