The Philadelphia 76ers (39-20) host the Miami Heat (32-29) on February 27, 2023 at Wells Fargo Center. The 76ers are favorites, by 5.5 points, in a matchup featuring two of the league’s best defensive squads — the 76ers are third (110.4 points conceded per game), and the Heat are second (108.6). The matchup has a 217 point total.
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76ers Vs Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 76ers | -5.5 | 217 |
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Injury Report as of February 27
76ers: Dewayne Dedmon: Out (Hip)
Heat: Kevin Love: Probable (Knee), Kyle Lowry: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Probable (Rib), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | 76ers (-5.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (217) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
76ers Vs Heat Stat Rankings
| 76ers Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 114.2 (16th) | Points Scored | 108.1 (30th) |
| 110.4 (3rd) | Points Allowed | 108.6 (2nd) |
| 40.6 (28th) | Rebounds | 41.4 (25th) |
| 8.6 (27th) | Off. Rebounds | 10.0 (15th) |
| 12.6 (10th) | 3pt Made | 11.6 (18th) |
| 25.0 (16th) | Assists | 23.4 (23rd) |
| 12.9 (6th) | Turnovers | 12.6 (5th) |
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76ers Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid | 47 | 33.1 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| James Harden | 43 | 21.6 | 6.2 | 10.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.9 |
| Tyrese Maxey | 40 | 19.4 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.2 |
| Tobias Harris | 55 | 15.5 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| De’Anthony Melton | 56 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 46 | 21.9 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 56 | 21.4 | 9.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Herro | 47 | 20.7 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.1 |
| Max Strus | 59 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Kyle Lowry | 44 | 12.0 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.0 |
Betting Trends
- The 76ers have 34 wins in 59 games against the spread this year.
- Philadelphia is 10-9 as 5.5-point favorites or more.
- The 76ers have played 59 games this year, and 33 of them have hit the over.
- Philadelphia and its opponent have broken the 217-point mark 39 times this season.
- 76ers games have had an average of 224.5 points this season, 7.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Heat have 21 wins in 61 games against the spread this season.
- As a 5.5-point underdog or more, Miami is 3-5 against the spread.
- This season, 27 of the Heat’s 61 games have hit the over.
- So far this season, 33 Miami’s games have featured over 217 points scored.
- The over/under for this game is 0.3 points higher than the average scoring total for Heat games of 216.7.
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