Broncos Vs Chargers: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 18

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 2, 2023

The Los Angeles Chargers (10-6) carry a four-game winning run into a Week 18 clash with the Denver Broncos (4-12). The Broncos (-6.5) kick things off on January 8, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET on CBS against the Chargers (+245 on the moneyline to win). A total of 39 points has been set for the game by oddsmakers.

The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of January 8, 2023 at 4:48 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Broncos Vs Chargers Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Broncos vs Chargers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Chargers (+6.5) Over (39)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Broncos Chargers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 16.0 (32) 22.7 (13)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 20.7 (10) 22.1 (17)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (26) 5.3 (17)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (3) 5.8 (26)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 22 (21) 17 (3)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 21 (13) 22 (12)

Broncos Betting Insights

  • The Broncos have seven wins in 16 games against the spread this season.
  • Denver is winless ATS (0-2) as a 6.5-point favorite or greater this season.
  • There have been five Broncos games (out of 16) that went over the total this season.
  • The Broncos and their opponent have broken the 39-point mark five times this year.
  • The point total average for Denver games this season is 41.6, 2.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Chargers Betting Insights

  • The Chargers’ record against the spread is 10-6-0.
  • Los Angeles has covered every time (1-0) as a 6.5-point or greater underdog this season.
  • This season, five of the Chargers’ 16 games have hit the over.
  • There have been 11 Los Angeles games this year with more than 39 points scored.
  • This season, Chargers games have resulted in an average scoring total of 48.3, which is 9.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • Russell Wilson has thrown for 3,241 yards, completing 60.8% of his passes and recording 13 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. He’s also run for 259 yards (18.5 ypg) on 47 carries with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Latavius Murray has carried the ball 156 times for a team-high 657 yards on the ground and has found the end zone five times.
  • Jerry Jeudy has hauled in 62 receptions for 818 yards (58.4 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone six times as a receiver.
  • Courtland Sutton has caught 61 passes for 796 yards (56.9 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
  • Chase Edmonds has been the target of 24 passes and racked up 16 receptions for 157 yards, an average of 13.1 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone one time through the air this season.
  • DeShawn Williams has 4.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 4.0 TFL and 37 tackles.
  • Alex Singleton, Denver’s top tackler, has 142 tackles and 5.0 TFL this year.
  • Justin Simmons has picked off a team-high six passes. He also has 58 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and seven passes defended to his name.

Chargers Players to Watch

  • Justin Herbert has racked up 4,466 yards on 68.3% passing while recording 23 touchdown passes with 10 interceptions this season.
  • Austin Ekeler has carried the ball 193 times for a team-high 881 yards (55.1 per game) with 13 touchdowns. He also leads the team through the air, as his 103 receptions this season are good for 686 yards, and he’s scored five touchdowns in the passing game.
  • Joshua Kelley has run for 269 yards across 64 carries, scoring two touchdowns.
  • Mike Williams’ 863 receiving yards (71.9 yards per game) are a team high. He has 59 catches on 88 targets with four touchdowns.
  • Josh Palmer has totaled 730 receiving yards (48.7 yards per game) and three touchdowns on 68 receptions.
  • Khalil Mack has collected 7.5 sacks to pace the team, while also picking up 7.0 TFL and 48 tackles.
  • Drue Tranquill, Los Angeles’ leading tackler, has 136 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
  • Derwin James has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 108 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 4.0 sacks, and five passes defended to his name.

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