Chiefs Vs Broncos: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 17

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 26, 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs (12-3) carry a three-game winning run into a Week 17 clash with the Denver Broncos (4-11). The Chiefs, listed at -12.5 on the spread, take to their home field on January 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS against the Broncos, +540 moneyline odds to win. Oddsmakers have installed a total of 46 points for the matchup.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of January 1, 2023 at 1:48 PM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Chiefs Vs Broncos Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Broncos
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Chiefs (-12.5) Under (46)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Chiefs Broncos
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 29.2 (3) 15.5 (32)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.1 (15) 20.3 (6)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.4 (1) 5.0 (25)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.2 (11) 4.9 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 21 (22) 20 (17)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 16 (23) 19 (17)

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • The Chiefs have five wins in 15 games against the spread this year.
  • Kansas City has no wins ATS (0-2-1) as a 12.5-point favorite or greater this year.
  • The Chiefs have seen seven of their 15 games go over the point total.
  • In nine games this season, the Chiefs and their opponent have combined for more than 46 points.
  • The point total average for Kansas City games this season is 49.7, 3.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Broncos Betting Insights

  • The Broncos have six wins in 15 contests against the spread this season.
  • There have been four Broncos games (out of 15) that went over the total this year.
  • Denver games have finished with over 46 points scored three times this season.
  • Broncos games average 41.3 total points, 4.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II has thrown for 4,720 yards, completing 66.9% of his passes and collecting 37 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this season. He’s also run for 321 yards (21.4 ypg) on 54 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Isaih Pacheco has carried the ball 153 times for a team-high 735 yards on the ground and has found the end zone three times.
  • Travis Kelce’s 1,257 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 135 times and has registered 97 receptions and 12 touchdowns.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has caught 74 passes while averaging 62.6 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has racked up 37 catches for 632 yards, an average of 42.1 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
  • Chris Jones leads the team with 12.0 sacks, and also has 13.0 TFL and 36 tackles.
  • Nick Bolton is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s totaled 153 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions.
  • L’Jarius Sneed has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 102 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and 10 passes defended.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • Russell Wilson has thrown for 3,019 yards (232.2 ypg) to lead Denver, completing 60.1% of his passes and collecting 12 touchdown passes and nine interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 232 yards (17.8 ypg) on 43 carries with one touchdown.
  • Latavius Murray is his team’s leading rusher with 144 carries for 601 yards, or 54.6 per game. He’s found the end zone five times on the ground, as well.
  • Courtland Sutton has collected 57 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 752 (57.8 yards per game). He’s been targeted 96 times and has one touchdown.
  • Eric Saubert has collected 118 receiving yards (7.9 yards per game) and one touchdown on 12 receptions.
  • Chase Edmonds’ 21 targets have resulted in 13 receptions for 118 yards and one touchdown.
  • DeShawn Williams has racked up 4.5 sacks to pace the team, while also picking up 4.0 TFL and 34 tackles.
  • Alex Singleton, Denver’s tackle leader, has 135 tackles and 5.0 TFL this year.
  • Justin Simmons has picked off a team-leading five passes. He also has 57 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and six passes defended to his name.

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