Dolphins Vs Packers: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 16

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 20, 2022

It’ll be the Miami Dolphins (8-6) against the Green Bay Packers (6-8) in Week 16. The Packers, with +150 moneyline odds to win, take to the road against the Dolphins, listed at -3.5 on the spread, on December 25, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET on FOX. Bookmakers have installed a total of 49.5 points for the contest.

This article makes reference to odds current as of December 25, 2022 at 1:48 PM ET. Browse all the up-to-date odds for this outing in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dolphins Vs Packers Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Dolphins vs Packers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Dolphins (-3.5) Under (49.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Dolphins Packers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 24.6 (10) 20.5 (20)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 24.6 (26) 22.4 (15)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.2 (2) 5.6 (11)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.5 (17) 5.6 (18)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 15 (6) 19 (21)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 13 (29) 16 (19)

Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Dolphins are 5-7-2 this year.
  • Miami owns one win ATS (1-3-2) as a 3.5-point favorite or greater this season.
  • The Dolphins have seen seven of its 14 games go over the point total.
  • Dolphins games have had more than 49.5 points scored on seven occasions this season.
  • Miami games this season have posted an average total of 47.6, which is 1.9 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

Packers Betting Insights

  • The Packers have beaten the spread six times in 14 games.
  • As a 3.5-point underdog or greater, Green Bay has two wins ATS (2-1).
  • The Packers have played 14 games this year, and seven of them have hit the over.
  • Green Bay’s games have finished with more than 49.5 points three times this season.
  • Packers games average 43.7 total points, 5.8 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Tua Tagovailoa has been a dual threat for Miami so far this season. He has 3,238 passing yards, completing 64.8% of his passes and tossing 24 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 70 yards (5.8 ypg) on 23 carries.
  • Raheem Mostert has 746 rushing yards on 153 carries with three touchdowns.
  • Tyreek Hill’s 1,529 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 152 times and has collected 109 receptions and seven touchdowns.
  • Jaylen Waddle has put up a 1,117-yard season so far with seven touchdowns, reeling in 62 passes on 100 targets.
  • Trent Sherfield has been the target of 44 passes and racked up 26 grabs for 362 yards, an average of 25.9 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone two times through the air this season.
  • Melvin Ingram has 5.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 5.0 TFL and 18 tackles.
  • Jerome Baker is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s totaled 89 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 4.0 sacks.
  • Jevon Holland leads the team with two interceptions, while also putting up 70 tackles, 1.5 sacks, and six passes defended.

Packers Players to Watch

  • Aaron Rodgers leads Green Bay with 3,093 yards on 294-of-453 passing with 23 touchdowns compared to 10 interceptions this season.
  • Aaron Jones has rushed for 937 yards on 181 carries so far this year while scoring two times on the ground. He’s also tacked on 52 catches, totaling 364 yards and five touchdowns in the passing game.
  • A.J. Dillon has racked up 660 yards (on 154 carries) with five touchdowns.
  • Allen Lazard’s 627 receiving yards (52.3 yards per game) are a team high. He has 46 receptions on 77 targets with five touchdowns.
  • Christian Watson has collected 447 receiving yards (40.6 yards per game) and seven touchdowns on 29 receptions.
  • Randall Cobb has racked up 381 reciving yards (38.1 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
  • Preston Smith has 7.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 9.0 TFL and 50 tackles.
  • Quay Walker is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s collected 105 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • Jaire Alexander has picked off a team-leading four passes. He also has 50 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 12 passes defended to his name.

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