Bills Vs Bears: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 16

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 20, 2022

A Week 16 matchup features the Buffalo Bills (11-3) playing the Chicago Bears (3-11). The Bills (-8) visit the Bears (+330 to win on the moneyline) on December 24, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. Sportsbooks have installed a total of 40.5 points for the game.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of December 24, 2022 at 1:48 PM ET. Head to the table below for the latest lines for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Bills Vs Bears Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Bills vs Bears
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Bills (-8) Over (40.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Bills Bears
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 27.5 (4) 20.7 (19)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.9 (2) 25.6 (30)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.1 (3) 5.4 (15)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.2 (10) 5.9 (29)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 21 (27) 19 (21)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 22 (5) 18 (13)

Bills Betting Insights

  • The Bills’ record against the spread is 6-8-0.
  • Buffalo has won twice ATS (2-4) as an 8-point or bigger favorite this season.
  • The Bills have played 14 games this year and four of them have gone over the total.
  • Bills games have finished with more than 40.5 points 10 times so far this year.
  • The average total for Buffalo games this season (postseason included) has been 48.6, 8.1 points higher than the total for this game.

Bears Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Bears are 5-9-0 this season.
  • Against the spread as 8-point underdogs or greater, Chicago is 3-3.
  • The Bears have played 14 games this year, and nine of them have hit the over.
  • Chicago games have finished with over 40.5 points scored 10 times this season.
  • This season, Bears games have resulted in an average scoring total of 42.6, which is 2.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen has been a dual threat for Buffalo so far this season. He has 3,857 passing yards, completing 63.7% of his passes and collecting 30 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 705 yards (50.4 ypg) on 109 carries with six rushing touchdowns.
  • Devin Singletary has been handed the ball 158 times this year and racked up 684 yards (48.9 per game) with four touchdowns. He’s also contributed in the pass game with 35 grabs for 258 yards and one touchdown.
  • Stefon Diggs’ team-leading 1,299 yards as a receiver have come on 99 receptions (out of 141 targets) with 10 touchdowns.
  • Gabriel Davis has caught 42 passes for 752 yards (57.8 yards per game) and six touchdowns this year.
  • Dawson Knox has compiled 43 catches for 466 yards, an average of 35.8 yards per game. He’s scored four times as a receiver this season.
  • Gregory Rousseau has 7.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 7.0 TFL and 31 tackles.
  • Tremaine Edmunds is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s totaled 88 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack.
  • Jordan Poyer leads the team with four interceptions, while also collecting 53 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and eight passes defended.

Bears Players to Watch

  • Justin Fields has thrown for 2,048 yards (157.5 ypg) to lead Chicago, completing 62% of his passes and collecting 15 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 1,000 yards (76.9 ypg) on 143 carries with eight touchdowns.
  • David Montgomery has 28 receptions for 282 yards (21.7 per game) and one touchdown so far while also carrying the ball 172 times for 694 yards and five scores.
  • Cole Kmet’s 433 receiving yards (30.9 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 39 catches on 55 targets with five touchdowns.
  • Chase Claypool has recorded 422 receiving yards (32.5 yards per game) and one touchdown on 44 receptions.
  • Jaquan Brisker paces the team with 3.0 sacks, and also has 4.0 TFL, 78 tackles, and one interception.
  • Chicago’s top-tackler, Nicholas Morrow, has 94 tackles and 9.0 TFL this year.
  • Kyler Gordon leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 59 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended.

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