Bengals Vs Patriots: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 16

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 20, 2022

The Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) will clash with the New England Patriots (7-7) in Week 16. The Bengals, listed at -3 on the spread, take to the road against the Patriots, +140 to win, on December 24, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. A point total of 41.5 points has been set for the matchup.

This article uses betting data valid as of December 24, 2022 at 1:48 PM ET. Find all the latest odds for this contest in the table below and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Bengals Vs Patriots Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Bengals vs Patriots
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Patriots (+3) Over (41.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Bengals Patriots
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 26.4 (5) 21.4 (17)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 20.6 (10) 19.2 (6)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.6 (11) 5.4 (15)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.4 (14) 4.9 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 14 (3) 19 (21)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 19 (10) 22 (5)

Bengals Betting Insights

  • The Bengals have 11 wins in 14 games against the spread this year.
  • As 3-point favorites or more, Cincinnati is 8-3 against the spread.
  • The Bengals have played 14 games this season and five of them have gone over the total.
  • Bengals games have had more than 41.5 points scored on nine occasions this year.
  • Cincinnati games average 45.6 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 4.1 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

Patriots Betting Insights

  • The Patriots’ record against the spread is 7-6-1.
  • New England has one win ATS (1-2) as a 3-point underdog or more this season.
  • This season, six of the Patriots’ 14 games have gone over the point total.
  • So far this season, six New England games have featured over 41.5 points scored.
  • The average total for Patriots games is 42.5 points, 1.0 more than this game’s over/under.

Bengals Players to Watch

  • Joe Burrow has thrown for 3,885 yards (277.5 ypg) to lead Cincinnati, completing 68.2% of his passes and recording 31 touchdown passes compared to 10 interceptions this season. He’s also figured in the ground game with 242 rushing yards on 68 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Joe Mixon has 722 rushing yards on 183 carries with six touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 48 catches for 357 yards (29.8 per game) and two touchdowns via the passing game.
  • This season, Samaje Perine has carried the ball 85 times for 373 yards (26.6 per game) and two touchdowns, while also racking up 264 yards through the air with four touchdowns.
  • Tee Higgins’ 894 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 94 times and has totaled 65 catches and six touchdowns.
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hauled in 71 receptions totaling 881 yards, finding the end zone eight times as a receiver so far this campaign.
  • Tyler Boyd has racked up 50 grabs for 690 yards, an average of 49.3 yards per game. He’s scored five times as a receiver this season.
  • Trey Hendrickson has collected 6.0 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 5.0 TFL and 29 tackles.
  • Cincinnati’s leading tackler, Logan Wilson, has 104 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
  • Vonn Bell has a team-high four interceptions to go along with 68 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and six passes defended.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones has thrown for 2,310 yards on 221-of-336 passing with seven touchdowns and eight interceptions this season. He has chipped on the ground, as well, with 97 yards and one rushing touchdown.
  • Pierre Strong Jr. is his team’s leading rusher with 10 carries for 100 yards, or 8.3 per game. He’s found paydirt one time on the ground, as well.
  • Hunter Henry has totaled 30 catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 415 (29.6 yards per game). He’s been targeted 46 times and has two touchdowns.
  • Nelson Agholor has caught 31 passes and compiled 362 receiving yards (27.8 per game) with two touchdowns.
  • Kendrick Bourne’s 32 targets have resulted in 24 grabs for 273 yards.
  • Matthew Judon has collected 14.5 sacks to lead the team, while also recording 11.0 TFL and 48 tackles.
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley, New England’s leading tackler, has 93 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and one interception this year.
  • Devin McCourty has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 63 tackles and five passes defended to his name.

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