Chargers Vs Colts: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 16

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 20, 2022

A Week 16 matchup features the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) taking on the Indianapolis Colts (4-9-1). The Colts, +170 on the moneyline to win, and the Chargers, listed at -3.5 on the spread, kick things off on December 26, 2022 at 8:15 PM ET on ESPN. Bookmakers have listed the matchup’s over/under at 44.5.

This article refers to odds current as of December 26, 2022 at 7:48 PM ET. See all the up-to-date odds for this matchup in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Chargers Vs Colts Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Chargers vs Colts
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Colts (+3.5) Under (44.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Chargers Colts
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 22.3 (19) 17.5 (31)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 24.3 (22) 24.1 (19)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.2 (21) 4.8 (29)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.9 (29) 5.1 (8)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 15 (1) 27 (32)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 18 (18) 15 (28)

Chargers Betting Insights

  • The Chargers have eight wins in 14 games against the spread this season.
  • As at least a 3.5-point favorite, Los Angeles has two wins ATS (2-3).
  • There have been five Chargers games (out of 14) that went over the total this year.
  • Chargers games have finished with more than 44.5 points eight times so far this year.
  • Los Angeles games average 49.0 total points per game this season, 4.5 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Colts Betting Insights

  • The Colts are 6-8-0 against the spread this season.
  • As 3.5-point underdogs or greater, Indianapolis is 5-2 against the spread.
  • Out of 14 Colts games so far this year, five have hit the over.
  • So far this year, four Indianapolis games have featured more than 44.5 points scored.
  • The over/under for this game is 1.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Colts games (43.4).

Chargers Players to Watch

  • Justin Herbert has thrown for 4,019 yards (287.1 ypg) to lead Los Angeles, completing 67.5% of his passes and recording 21 touchdown passes compared to nine interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 145 rushing yards on 46 carries.
  • Austin Ekeler has carried the ball 165 times for a team-high 692 yards (49.4 per game) with nine scores. He has also caught 95 passes for 635 yards and five receiving touchdowns.
  • Joshua Kelley has been handed the ball 46 times this year and racked up 191 yards (19.1 per game) with two touchdowns.
  • Josh Palmer’s team-leading 714 yards as a receiver have come on 66 receptions (out of 97 targets) with three touchdowns.
  • Mike Williams has caught 48 passes for 693 yards (69.3 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
  • Khalil Mack has racked up 6.5 sacks to pace the team, while also picking up 6.0 TFL and 45 tackles.
  • Los Angeles’ tackle leader, Drue Tranquill, has 116 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception this year.
  • Bryce Callahan has a team-high three interceptions to go along with 41 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and six passes defended.

Colts Players to Watch

  • Matt Ryan leads Indianapolis with 3,057 yards on 309-of-461 passing with 14 touchdowns compared to 13 interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Zack Moss, has carried the ball 48 times for 203 yards (20.3 per game).
  • Deon Jackson has been given 57 carries and totaled 191 yards with one touchdown.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. leads his team with 815 receiving yards on 86 catches with two touchdowns.
  • Alec Pierce has caught 32 passes and compiled 510 receiving yards (39.2 per game) with two touchdowns.
  • Parris Campbell has racked up 510 reciving yards (36.4 ypg) and three touchdowns this season.
  • Yannick Ngakoue has 9.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 6.0 TFL and 27 tackles.
  • Zaire Franklin is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s amassed 139 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack.
  • Rodney Thomas II leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 35 tackles and three passes defended.

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