Chiefs Vs Texans: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 15

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 12, 2022

A Week 15 matchup features the Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) playing the Houston Texans (1-11-1). The Chiefs, listed at -14 on the spread, visit the Texans, +675 to win, on December 18, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. A total of 48.5 points has been set for the matchup by bookmakers.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of December 18, 2022 at 1:48 PM ET. Check out the table below for the most up-to-date lines for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Chiefs Vs Texans Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Texans
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Chiefs (-14) Under (48.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Chiefs Texans
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 29.5 (2) 16.2 (30)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.9 (18) 24.2 (26)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.5 (1) 4.8 (31)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.4 (13) 5.7 (20)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 19 (26) 22 (31)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 14 (23) 17 (10)

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • The Chiefs have beaten the spread four times in 13 games.
  • Kansas City is winless ATS (0-1-1) as a 14-point favorite or greater this year.
  • There have been six Chiefs games (out of 13) that hit the over this year.
  • The Chiefs and their opponent have broken the 48.5-point mark eight times this year.
  • Kansas City games have had an average of 49.8 points this season, 1.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Texans Betting Insights

  • The Texans have covered the spread six times in 13 games.
  • As a 14-point underdog or more, Houston has two wins ATS (2-0-1).
  • This year, five of the Texans’ 13 games have gone over the point total.
  • Houston games have finished with over 48.5 points scored three times this year.
  • The over/under for this game is 4.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Texans games (43.9).

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II leads Kansas City with 4,160 yards (320.0 ypg) on 336-of-511 passing with 33 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this season. He also has 280 rushing yards on 47 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.
  • Isaih Pacheco has racked up 591 yards on 124 carries while finding paydirt three times as a runner.
  • Travis Kelce’s 1,039 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 117 times and has collected 81 receptions and 12 touchdowns.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has hauled in 61 receptions totaling 762 yards, finding the end zone three times as a receiver so far this campaign.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s 34 receptions have yielded 606 yards and one touchdown.
  • Carlos Dunlap paces the team with 4.0 sacks, and also has 4.0 TFL and 33 tackles.
  • Nick Bolton is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s totaled 129 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions.
  • L’Jarius Sneed has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 89 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and 10 passes defended to his name.

Texans Players to Watch

  • Davis Mills has thrown for 2,319 yards on 62.8% passing while tossing 11 touchdown passes with 12 interceptions this season.
  • Rex Burkhead is his team’s leading rusher with 26 carries for 80 yards, or 6.7 per game.
  • Jeff Driskel has collected 51 yards (on nine carries).
  • Chris Moore paces his squad with 438 receiving yards on 37 catches with two touchdowns.
  • Jordan Akins has caught 25 passes and compiled 326 receiving yards (29.6 per game) with two touchdowns.
  • Phillip Dorsett’s 30 targets have resulted in 14 receptions for 198 yards and one touchdown.
  • Jerry Hughes has 8.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 8.0 TFL, 27 tackles, and one interception.
  • So far Jalen Pitre leads the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has collected 105 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and three interceptions this season.

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