Saints Vs Falcons: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 15

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 12, 2022 - Last Updated on December 17, 2022

A Week 15 matchup features the New Orleans Saints (4-9) playing the Atlanta Falcons (5-8). The Falcons, with +195 moneyline odds to win, take to the road against the Saints, listed at -5.5 on the spread, on December 18, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET on FOX. A total of 43.5 has been set for the matchup.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of December 18, 2022 at 1:48 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Saints Vs Falcons Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Saints vs Falcons
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Falcons (+5.5) Over (43.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Saints Falcons
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 20.4 (21) 22.2 (16)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.8 (17) 24.0 (22)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.7 (9) 5.5 (14)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.1 (8) 5.8 (26)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 21 (30) 17 (19)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 9 (32) 15 (15)

Saints Betting Insights

  • The Saints have covered the spread five times in 13 games.
  • As a 5.5-point or greater favorite, New Orleans has one win ATS (1-1) this season.
  • The Saints have seen six of its 13 games go over the point total.
  • In six games this season, the Saints and their opponent have combined to score more than 43.5 points.
  • The over/under in this game is 43.5 points, 0.5 higher than the average total in New Orleans games this season (postseason included).

Falcons Betting Insights

  • The Falcons’ record against the spread is 7-6-0.
  • Atlanta’s ATS record as 5.5-point underdogs or greater is 3-1.
  • Out of 13 Falcons games so far this year, six have gone over the total.
  • Atlanta games have finished with over 43.5 points scored six times this year.
  • This season, Falcons games have resulted in an average scoring total of 45.2, which is 1.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Saints Players to Watch

  • Andy Dalton has compiled 2,252 yards (225.2 ypg) on 200-of-299 passing with 15 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season.
  • Alvin Kamara has carried the ball 143 times for a team-high 550 yards (50.0 per game) with one score. He has also caught 51 passes for 433 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
  • This season, Taysom Hill has carried the ball 61 times for 419 yards (34.9 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Chris Olave’s team-leading 887 yards as a receiver have come on 60 catches (out of 98 targets) with three touchdowns.
  • Tre’Quan Smith’s 18 receptions have turned into 272 yards and one touchdown.
  • Demario Davis, the team’s tackle and sacks leader, has collected 7.0 sacks, 8.0 TFL, 83 tackles, and one interception.
  • Tyrann Mathieu has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 64 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and five passes defended to his name.

Falcons Players to Watch

  • The team’s top rusher, Tyler Allgeier, has carried the ball 131 times for 604 yards (50.3 per game) with one touchdown.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has collected 566 yards (on 108 attempts) with five touchdowns.
  • Drake London leads his squad with 533 receiving yards on 47 receptions with four touchdowns.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has totaled 478 receiving yards (36.8 yards per game) and two touchdowns on 32 receptions.
  • Damiere Byrd’s 10 receptions (on 17 targets) have netted him 241 yards (24.1 ypg) and two touchdowns.
  • Grady Jarrett leads the team with 5.5 sacks, and also has 9.0 TFL and 46 tackles.
  • Rashaan Evans, Atlanta’s leading tackler, has 136 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack this year.
  • Richie Grant has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 89 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and seven passes defended to his name.

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