Bills Vs Patriots: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 13

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 29, 2022

The Buffalo Bills (8-3) will clash with the New England Patriots (6-5) in Week 13. The Patriots, with +175 moneyline odds to win, host the Bills, listed at -4 on the spread, on December 1, 2022 at 8:15 PM ET on AMAZON. The point total for the matchup is set at 44 points.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of December 1, 2022 at 7:50 PM ET. Head to the table below for the latest lines for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Bills Vs Patriots Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Bills vs Patriots
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Patriots (+4) Under (44)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Bills Patriots
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 28.1 (2) 21.7 (20)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 18.1 (5) 18.4 (6)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.3 (2) 5.4 (17)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.2 (9) 5.0 (7)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 19 (30) 17 (27)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 20 (2) 18 (5)

Bills Betting Insights

  • The Bills are 5-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • As 4-point favorites or more, Buffalo is 3-5 against the spread.
  • Out of 11 Bills games so far this season, three have hit the over.
  • The Bills and their opponent have broken the 44-point mark six times this season.
  • The average total for Buffalo games this season (playoffs included) has been 49.9, 5.9 points higher than the total for this game.

Patriots Betting Insights

  • The Patriots have six wins in 11 contests against the spread this season.
  • New England is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 4-point underdog or greater this season.
  • The Patriots have seen five of its 11 games hit the over.
  • So far this season, five New England games have featured over 44 points scored.
  • Games involving the Patriots this year have averaged 42.0 points per game, a 2.0-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen has been a dual threat for Buffalo so far this season. He has 3,183 passing yards, completing 63.9% of his passes and collecting 23 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 561 yards (51.0 ypg) on 81 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Devin Singletary has been handed the ball 124 times this year and racked up 552 yards (50.2 per game) with three touchdowns. He’s also contributed in the pass game with 31 grabs for 226 yards and one touchdown.
  • Stefon Diggs has hauled in 84 receptions for 1,110 yards (100.9 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone nine times as a receiver.
  • Gabriel Davis has hauled in 33 receptions totaling 650 yards, finding the end zone five times as a receiver so far this campaign.
  • Dawson Knox has hauled in 33 catches for 327 yards, an average of 32.7 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
  • Gregory Rousseau paces the team with 5.0 sacks, and also has 6.0 TFL and 21 tackles.
  • Buffalo’s top-tackler, Damar Hamlin, has 70 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks this year.
  • Jordan Poyer leads the team with four interceptions, while also recording 36 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and seven passes defended.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones has thrown for 1,768 yards (221.0 ypg) to lead New England, completing 69.2% of his passes and tossing six touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 81 yards (10.1 ypg) on 27 carries with one touchdown.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson’s team-high 680 rushing yards have come on 151 carries, with four touchdowns. He also leads the team with 359 receiving yards (32.6 per game) on 50 catches with one touchdown.
  • Jakobi Meyers has registered 47 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 571 (63.4 yards per game). He’s been targeted 61 times and has three touchdowns.
  • DeVante Parker has put together a 420-yard season so far with one touchdown. He’s caught 21 passes on 34 targets.
  • Matthew Judon has racked up 13.0 sacks to pace the team, while also recording 10.0 TFL and 41 tackles.
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s racked up 68 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and one interception.
  • Jonathan Jones leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 33 tackles and seven passes defended.

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