Buccaneers Vs Saints: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 13

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 28, 2022

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) and New Orleans Saints (4-8) will face each other in Week 13. The Buccaneers, listed at -3.5 on the spread, take to their home field on December 5, 2022 at 8:15 PM ET on ESPN against the Saints, +155 on the moneyline to win. The game’s total is currently set at 41.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of December 5, 2022 at 6:48 PM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Buccaneers Vs Saints Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Buccaneers vs Saints
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Buccaneers (-3.5) Under (41)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Buccaneers Saints
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 18.2 (30) 20.8 (22)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 18.5 (2) 23.3 (19)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.1 (24) 5.7 (8)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (6) 5.2 (9)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 9 (1) 21 (31)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (30) 7 (32)

Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Buccaneers are 3-7-1 this season.
  • Tampa Bay has yet to win ATS (0-4) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this year.
  • Two of the Buccaneers’ 11 games have hit the over.
  • On just two occasions this year have the Buccaneers and their opponent combined to score more than 41 points.
  • Tampa Bay games have had an average of 44.5 points this season, 3.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Saints Betting Insights

  • The Saints’ record against the spread is 4-8-0.
  • As a 3.5-point underdog or greater, New Orleans has one win ATS (1-1) this season.
  • There have been six Saints games (out of 12) that hit the over this season.
  • There have been six New Orleans games this year with more than 41 points scored.
  • The average total for Saints games is 43.3 points, 2.3 more than this game’s over/under.

Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Tom Brady has thrown for 3,051 yards (277.4 ypg) to lead Tampa Bay, completing 66.2% of his passes and collecting 14 touchdown passes compared to two interceptions this season.
  • Rachaad White has carried the ball 74 times for a team-high 286 yards on the ground and has found the end zone one time. He’s also tacked on 29 catches for 180 yards (16.4 per game).
  • Julio Jones has carried the ball four times for 32 yards (5.3 per game) while also racking up 218 yards through the air, scoring two times.
  • Mike Evans’ 702 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 85 times and has totaled 51 receptions and three touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin has caught 60 passes for 585 yards (65.0 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
  • Cade Otton has a total of 281 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 26 throws and scoring one touchdown.
  • Devin White, the team’s tackle and sacks leader, has recorded 5.5 sacks, 6.0 TFL and 89 tackles.
  • Mike Edwards has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 64 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and three passes defended.

Saints Players to Watch

  • Andy Dalton has put up 2,023 passing yards, or 224.8 per game, so far this season. He has completed 66.4% of his passes and has thrown 14 touchdowns with seven interceptions.
  • Alvin Kamara’s team-high 524 rushing yards have come on 131 carries, with one touchdown. He also leads the team with 422 receiving yards (42.2 per game) on 49 catches with two touchdowns.
  • Taysom Hill has compiled 409 yards on 58 carries with five touchdowns.
  • Chris Olave has totaled 56 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 822 (74.7 yards per game). He’s been targeted 92 times and has three touchdowns.
  • Tre’Quan Smith has racked up 272 reciving yards (27.2 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
  • Demario Davis leads the team with 7.0 sacks. He’s also the team’s tackle leader, and has collected 8.0 TFL and 76 tackles.
  • Tyrann Mathieu leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 59 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four passes defended.

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