Washington Vs Falcons: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 12

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 21, 2022 - Last Updated on November 26, 2022

The Washington Commanders (6-5) and Atlanta Falcons (5-6) will meet in a Week 12 matchup. The Falcons (+160 on the moneyline to win) take the field as visitors on November 27, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET on FOX against the Commanders (-3.5). A total of 40.5 has been set for the game.

This article makes reference to odds as of November 27, 2022 at 9:49 AM ET. See all the up-to-date odds for this game in the table in this article and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Washington Vs Falcons Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Commanders vs Falcons
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Commanders (-3.5) Over (40.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Commanders Falcons
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 19.5 (22) 23.5 (8)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 20.3 (14) 24.9 (29)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.8 (29) 5.4 (16)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.2 (9) 5.9 (28)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 13 (14) 15 (25)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 13 (16) 14 (9)

Washington Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, the Commanders are 7-4-0 this year.
  • Washington has yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 3.5-point favorite or greater this year.
  • The Commanders have played 11 games this season and four of them have hit the over.
  • In four games this year, the Commanders and their opponent have combined to score more than 40.5 points.
  • The total for this game is 40.5, 2.3 points fewer than the average total in Washington games thus far this season.

Falcons Betting Insights

  • The Falcons have seven wins in 11 contests against the spread this year.
  • Atlanta’s ATS record as 3.5-point underdogs or more is 4-1.
  • The Falcons have played 11 games this season, and six of them have hit the over.
  • Atlanta games have finished with over 40.5 points scored eight times this season.
  • The average total for Falcons games is 45.8 points, 5.3 more than this game’s over/under.

Washington Players to Watch

  • Taylor Heinicke has 1,031 passing yards for Washington, completing 60.8% of his passes and tossing five touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He’s also helped out on the ground with 62 rushing yards (12.4 ypg) on 20 carries with one rushing touchdown.
  • Antonio Gibson has carried the ball 121 times for a team-high 444 yards (40.4 per game) with three scores. He has also caught 37 passes for 284 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
  • Brian Robinson Jr. has been handed the ball 108 times this year and racked up 362 yards (51.7 per game) with two touchdowns.
  • Terry McLaurin has hauled in 50 receptions for 792 yards (72.0 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone two times as a receiver.
  • Curtis Samuel has caught 48 passes for 493 yards (44.8 yards per game) and three touchdowns this year.
  • Da’Ron Payne has collected 6.5 sacks to lead the team, while also picking up 10.0 TFL and 41 tackles.
  • Washington’s leading tackler, Jamin Davis, has 57 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks this year.
  • Darrick Forrest leads the team with three interceptions, while also collecting 46 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and six passes defended.

Falcons Players to Watch

  • Marcus Mariota has compiled 1,878 yards on 62.2% passing while tossing 13 touchdown passes with seven interceptions this season. He’s also run for 372 yards with four scores.
  • Tyler Allgeier has run for 498 yards on 110 carries so far this year while scoring one time on the ground.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has racked up 454 yards (on 86 carries) with five touchdowns.
  • Drake London leads his team with 409 receiving yards on 39 catches with four touchdowns.
  • Olamide Zaccheaus has 25 receptions (on 31 targets) for a total of 374 yards (34.0 yards per game) and two touchdowns this year.
  • Damiere Byrd’s nine grabs (on 16 targets) have netted him 229 yards (28.6 ypg) and two touchdowns.
  • Grady Jarrett has 5.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 9.0 TFL and 37 tackles.
  • Atlanta’s leading tackler, Rashaan Evans, has 108 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack this year.
  • Jaylinn Hawkins has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 54 tackles and four passes defended.

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