Chiefs Vs Chargers: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 11

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 14, 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) and Los Angeles Chargers (5-4) will face each other in Week 11. The Chargers, with +195 moneyline odds to win, host the Chiefs, listed at -5.5 on the spread, on November 20, 2022 at 8:20 PM ET on NBC. The game’s total is currently listed at 52.5.

This article refers to lines as of November 20, 2022 at 8:48 PM ET. Find all the latest odds for this matchup in the table in this article and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Chiefs Vs Chargers Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Chiefs vs Chargers
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Chiefs (-5.5) Under (52.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Chiefs Chargers
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 30.0 (1) 22.2 (21)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 22.9 (17) 25.3 (22)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.4 (2) 5.2 (22)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.4 (13) 5.8 (23)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 12 (15) 10 (8)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 8 (27) 12 (15)

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • The Chiefs have covered the spread four times in nine games.
  • Kansas City has won twice ATS (2-2) as a 5.5-point or bigger favorite this year.
  • There have been four Chiefs games (out of nine) that went over the total this season.
  • Four times so far this year, the Chiefs and their opponent have combined for more than 52.5 points.
  • The over/under for this game is 52.5 points, 1.9 more than the average point total for Kansas City games this season (postseason included).

Chargers Betting Insights

  • The Chargers have beaten the spread five times in nine games.
  • Los Angeles has covered every time (1-0) as a 5.5-point or greater underdog this season.
  • This season, four of the Chargers’ nine games have gone over the point total.
  • Los Angeles’ games have finished with more than 52.5 points three times this season.
  • The over/under for this game is 4.2 points higher than the average scoring total for Chargers games (48.3).

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes II has thrown for 2,936 yards (326.2 ypg) to lead Kansas City, completing 66.9% of his passes and collecting 25 touchdown passes compared to seven interceptions this season. He’s also figured in the ground game with 215 rushing yards on 34 carries with one rushing touchdown.
  • The team’s top rusher, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, has carried the ball 69 times for 293 yards (32.6 per game), scoring three times. He’s also caught 17 passes for 151 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Isaih Pacheco has been handed the ball 60 times this year and racked up 279 yards (31.0 per game) with one touchdown.
  • Travis Kelce has hauled in 63 catches for 740 yards (82.2 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone eight times as a receiver.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has hauled in 46 passes while averaging 68.3 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling’s 26 catches are good enough for 441 yards and one touchdown.
  • Chris Jones paces the team with 7.0 sacks, and also has 6.0 TFL and 17 tackles.
  • Nick Bolton is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s racked up 79 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks.
  • Jaylen Watson has a team-leading one interception to go along with 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended.

Chargers Players to Watch

  • Justin Herbert has 2,450 passing yards, or 272.2 per game, so far this season. He has completed 65.8% of his passes and has thrown 14 touchdowns with six interceptions.
  • The team’s top rusher, Austin Ekeler, has carried the ball 104 times for 451 yards (50.1 per game), with six touchdowns this year. He’s proven to be a dual threat, hauling in 420 receiving yards (46.7 per game) on 67 catches with four receiving touchdowns.
  • Sony Michel has collected 105 yards (on 35 carries).
  • Mike Williams’ 495 receiving yards (70.7 yards per game) lead the team. He has 37 catches on 59 targets with three touchdowns.
  • Josh Palmer has racked up 390 reciving yards (48.8 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
  • Khalil Mack leads the team with 6.5 sacks, and also has 5.0 TFL and 30 tackles.
  • Derwin James, Los Angeles’ top tackler, has 84 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks this year.
  • Bryce Callahan has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has 23 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and five passes defended to his name.

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