Celtics vs. Mavericks Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 1

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 4, 2024

The Boston Celtics and the Dallas Mavericks square off to begin the NBA Finals. The Celtics are listed as favorites by 6.5 points for the game, which will be broadcast on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 217.

Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Thursday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the matchup.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Celtics (-6.5) to Cover

  • Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Celtics winning by a considerably greater margin (10.9 points). Take the Celtics.
  • Boston has gone 42-36-4 ATS this season.
  • When playing as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, the Celtics have an ATS record of 30-23-3.
  • Dallas is 48-34-0 ATS this season.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread twice this year (2-5 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.

Think the Celtics will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 217

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (11.5 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • Boston’s games have finished with more than 217 points 62 times so far this year.
  • So far this year, 67 Dallas’ games have featured over 217 points scored.
  • A total of 43 out of the Celtics’ 82 games this season have gone over the point total.
  • A total of 36 Mavericks games this season have hit the over.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-230)

  • Prediction: Celtics 120, Mavericks 109
  • Boston has been the favorite in 79 games this season and won 63 (79.7%) of those contests.
  • Dallas has come away with 12 wins in the 31 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.

Which team do you think will end up on top? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Derrick White Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5

  • Derrick White averages 15.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game.
  • He has pulled down 4.2 boards per game, 0.7 more than his over/under for Thursday’s game.
  • He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by sportsbooks 40 times this season in 77 games with that prop available.
  • With 42.9 rebounds per game and 45.1 rebounds conceded, the Mavericks are 21st and 25th in the league, respectively.

See all available player props for Derrick White and other Celtics players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Daniel Gafford Points Prop: Under 7.5

  • Daniel Gafford is putting up 11.0 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He is making 72.5% of his shots from the field (first in league).
  • Thursday’s over/under for Gafford is 7.5. That’s 3.5 less than his season average.
  • Gafford has hit the points prop over at a 39-for-70 clip this season.
  • It’s been a dominant stretch for the Celtics, who are scoring 120.6 points per game (second-best in NBA) and surrendering 109.2 points per contest (fifth-best).

Check out the prop bets available for Daniel Gafford and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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