Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Western Finals Game 5 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 30, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 29, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) are aiming to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 4.5-point underdogs in a decisive Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, and will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Mavericks have a 3-1 lead in the series. The matchup has a 209.5 point total.

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Timberwolves -4.5 209.5

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Injury Report as of May 30

Timberwolves: Mike Conley: Questionable (Soleus)

Mavericks: Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Luka Dončić: Questionable (Knee/Ankle), Dereck Lively II: Questionable (Neck)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (-4.5)
Total Pick Over (209.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) Mavericks Avg. (Rank)
113 (18th) Points Scored 117.9 (7th)
106.5 (1st) Points Allowed 115.6 (20th)
43.6 (15th) Rebounds 42.9 (21st)
9.4 (24th) Off. Rebounds 9.7 (23rd)
12.6 (15th) 3pt Made 14.6 (3rd)
26.6 (15th) Assists 25.7 (19th)
13.4 (19th) Turnovers 12.1 (7th)

Best Betting Site for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

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Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves have beaten the spread 40 times in 82 games.
  • Against the spread as 4.5-point favorites or more, Minnesota is 20-21.
  • The Timberwolves have seen 41 of their 82 games go over the point total.
  • Minnesota’s games have had more than 209.5 points scored on 61 occasions this season.
  • The average total for Timberwolves games this season has been 219.5, 10 points higher than the total for this game.
  • The Mavericks have 48 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
  • Dallas has an ATS record of 4-7 as a 4.5-point underdog or greater.
  • There have been 36 Mavericks games (out of 82) that went over the total this season.
  • Dallas’ games have had over 209.5 points 72 times this year.
  • The average total points scored in Mavericks games this year (209.5) is 24 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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