Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: Western Finals Game 4 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 28, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 27, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks lead 3-0 heading into a deciding Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. The Mavericks are 1.5-point favorites for the game, which airs on TNT at 8:30 PM ET. The over/under is set at 211.5 points for the matchup.

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Mavericks -1.5 211.5

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Injury Report as of May 28

Mavericks: Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Luka Dončić: Questionable (Knee/Ankle), Dereck Lively II: Doubtful (Neck), Maximilian Kleber: Questionable (Shoulder)

Timberwolves: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+1.5)
Total Pick Over (211.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Mavericks Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
117.9 (7th) Points Scored 113 (18th)
115.6 (20th) Points Allowed 106.5 (1st)
42.9 (21st) Rebounds 43.6 (15th)
9.7 (23rd) Off. Rebounds 9.4 (24th)
14.6 (3rd) 3pt Made 12.6 (15th)
25.7 (19th) Assists 26.6 (15th)
12.1 (7th) Turnovers 13.4 (19th)

Best Betting Site for Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

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Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks have beaten the spread 48 times in 82 games.
  • As 1.5-point favorites or more, Dallas is 29-17 against the spread.
  • This season, 36 of the Mavericks’ 82 games have hit the over.
  • Dallas’ games have finished with more than 211.5 points 70 times so far this season.
  • Mavericks games have had an average of 233.5 points this season, 22 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-40-2 this year.
  • As a 1.5-point underdog or greater, Minnesota is 10-7 against the spread.
  • The Timberwolves have played 82 games this season, and 41 of them have hit the over.
  • Minnesota’s games have finished with over 211.5 points scored 58 times this season.
  • The average total points scored in Timberwolves games this year (211.5) is eight points higher than the total for this matchup.

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