Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: Western Finals Game 3 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 26, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 25, 2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) are looking to pull off an upset as slight 2-point underdogs heading into Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals, and will face off against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Sunday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Mavericks are on top 2-0 in the series. The over/under for the matchup is 208 points.

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Mavericks -2 208

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Injury Report as of May 26

Mavericks: Luka Dončić: Questionable (Knee/Ankle), Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Maximilian Kleber: Out (Shoulder)

Timberwolves: Mike Conley: Questionable (Soleus)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+2)
Total Pick Over (208)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Mavericks Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
117.9 (7th) Points Scored 113 (18th)
115.6 (20th) Points Allowed 106.5 (1st)
42.9 (21st) Rebounds 43.6 (15th)
9.7 (23rd) Off. Rebounds 9.4 (24th)
14.6 (3rd) 3pt Made 12.6 (15th)
25.7 (19th) Assists 26.6 (15th)
12.1 (7th) Turnovers 13.4 (19th)

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Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks’ record against the spread is 48-34-0.
  • Dallas is 28-16 as 2-point favorites or more.
  • Out of 82 Mavericks games so far this season, 36 have hit the over.
  • Dallas and its opponent have broken the 208-point mark 75 times this season.
  • The average total for Mavericks games this season has been 233.5, 25.5 points higher than the total for this game.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread 40 times in 82 games.
  • Minnesota is 10-7 as a 2-point underdog or more.
  • Out of 82 Timberwolves games so far this season, 41 have gone over the total.
  • So far this season, 67 Minnesota’s games have featured more than 208 points scored.
  • The average total for Timberwolves games is 219.5 points, 11.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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