Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 25, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks bring a 2-0 lead into Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. The Mavericks enter the matchup as favorites by 2 points for the game, which airs on TNT at 8:00 PM ET. The point total is set at 207.5 for the matchup.

Before you make an informed wager on the matchup, take a look at the best bets available for Sunday’s game according to our computer predictions.

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Spread: Timberwolves (+2) to Cover

  • The data strongly suggests betting on the Timberwolves in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Mavericks favored and the difference between the two is 3.1 points.
  • Minnesota has a 40-40-2 record against the spread this year.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread 10 times this season (10-7 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
  • Dallas has a 48-34-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Mavericks have been favored by 2 points or more 44 times this season, and covered the spread in 28 of those contests.

Think the Timberwolves will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 207.5

  • The model predicts a total (224.1 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (207.5 points). Take the over.
  • Dallas and its opponent have broken the 207.5-point mark 75 times this season.
  • So far this season, 67 Minnesota’s games have featured over 207.5 points scored.
  • So far this season, 36 out of the Mavericks’ 82 games have gone over the point total.
  • In the Timberwolves’ 82 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (+105)

  • Prediction: Timberwolves 113, Mavericks 112
  • This season, Dallas has won 37 out of the 49 games, or 75.5%, in which it has been favored.
  • Minnesota has been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (45%) in those games.

Which team do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Kyrie Irving Points Prop: Under 21.5

  • Kyrie Irving puts up 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • The 21.5-point total set for Irving on Sunday is 4.1 less than his season scoring average.
  • This season, Irving has scored beyond the points prop number in 30 of 63 games with a set total.
  • In 2023-24, the Timberwolves are 18th in the league on offense (113 points scored per game) and best defensively (106.5 points conceded).

Check out all available player props for Kyrie Irving and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Anthony Edwards Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5

  • On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • He has pulled down 5.4 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet in Sunday’s game (5.5).
  • This will be his 81st game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has gone over on 38 occasions.
  • With 42.9 rebounds per game, the Mavericks are 21st in the NBA. They cede 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.

Check out the prop bets available for Anthony Edwards and other Timberwolves players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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