The Boston Celtics take a 2-0 series lead into Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics are listed as favorites by 7.5 points for the game, which airs on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The over/under for the matchup is set at 222.
Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game may help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Pacers (+7.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Celtics by 5.6 points, just 1.9 less than the 7.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
- So far this season, Indiana has put together a 44-35-3 record against the spread.
- The Pacers have been an underdog by 7.5 points or more six times this year, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
- Boston’s ATS record is 42-36-4 this season.
- The Celtics have been favored by 7.5 points or more 51 times this season, and covered the spread in 27 of those contests.
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Total: Over 222
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (234.3 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (222 points). Bet on the over.
- Boston’s games have finished with more than 222 points 57 times so far this year.
- Indiana’s games have gone over 222 points on 71 occasions this year.
- In the Celtics’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 43 times.
- In the Pacers’ 82 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 42 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-305)
- Prediction: Celtics 120, Pacers 114
- Boston has entered the game as favorites 79 times this season and won 63, or 79.7%, of those games.
- Indiana has been an underdog in 38 games this season and has come away with the win 20 times (52.6%) in those contests.
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Derrick White Points Prop: Over 15.5
- Derrick White puts up 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made treys per contest.
- The 15.2 points White scores per game are 0.3 less than his prop total on Saturday.
- This season, he is 37-for-77 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- Offensively, the Pacers are the best team in the league (123.3 points per game). However on defense they are fourth-worst (120.2 points conceded per game).
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Pascal Siakam Points Prop: Under 23.5
- Pascal Siakam is putting up 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 53.6% of his shots from the field and 34.6% from 3-point range, with 1.1 triples per game.
- The 23.5-point prop total for Siakam on Saturday is 1.8 higher than his scoring average, which is 21.7.
- This season Siakam is 35-for-82 at going over the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- When it comes to points, the Celtics are playing well at both ends of the court, as they rank second-best in the league in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.2 per contest).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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