Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 2

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 23, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks will look to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 6-point underdogs for Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Friday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Mavericks have a 1-0 series lead. The matchup’s point total is set at 208.

Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

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Spread: Timberwolves (-6) to Cover

  • The DraftKings line for this game has the Timberwolves favored by six, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (7.4 points).
  • Minnesota has a 40-40-2 record against the spread this season.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread 17 times this season (17-20 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
  • So far this year, Dallas has put together a 48-34-0 record against the spread.
  • The Mavericks have been an underdog by 6 points or more seven times this year, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.

Think the Timberwolves will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 208

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (16.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • In 67 games this season, Minnesota and its opponent have combined for more than 208 points.
  • There have been 75 Dallas’ games this season with more than 208 points scored.
  • In the Timberwolves’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.
  • In the Mavericks’ 82 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-245)

  • Prediction: Timberwolves 116, Mavericks 108
  • Minnesota has won 46, or 75.4%, of the 61 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (38.7%) in those games.

Which team do you think will end up victorious? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Karl-Anthony Towns Rebounds Prop: Over 8.5

  • Karl-Anthony Towns averages 21.8 points, 3.0 assists and 8.3 rebounds per game.
  • He has collected 8.3 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet in Friday’s game (8.5).
  • He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by sportsbooks 29 times this season in 62 games with that prop available.
  • The Mavericks collect 42.9 rebounds per game and give up 45.1 boards, ranking 21st and 25th, respectively, in the league.

Explore all available player props for Karl-Anthony Towns and other Timberwolves players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Luka Doncic Points Prop: Under 28.5

  • On a per-game basis, Luka Doncic gives the Mavericks 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • The 33.9 points Doncic scores per game are 5.4 more than his prop total on Friday.
  • Doncic has gone over on his points prop on 39 occasions this season (in 75 games with such a prop).
  • The Timberwolves are posting 113 points per game this season (18th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well on defense, surrendering just 106.5 points per game (best).

Check out the prop bets available for Luka Doncic and other Mavericks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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