The Boston Celtics bring a 1-0 series lead into Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics are listed as favorites by 9 points for the game, which will be broadcast on ESPN at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 225 points.
Our computer predictions for Thursday’s game may help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Celtics (-9) to Cover
- The model projects the Celtics to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by slightly more points (11.2 to 9).
- So far this season, Boston has compiled a 42-36-4 record against the spread.
- The Celtics have been favored by 9 points or more 36 times this season, and covered the spread in 19 of those matchups.
- Indiana has a 44-35-3 record against the spread this season.
- The Pacers have covered the spread once this year (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 9-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 225
- The model predicts a total (234.3 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (225 points). Take the over.
- Boston’s games have finished with more than 225 points 47 times so far this year.
- There have been 65 Indiana’s games this season with more than 225 points scored.
- The Celtics and their opponents have combined to hit the over 43 out of 82 times this season.
- Pacers games have gone over the point total 42 out of 82 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-395)
- Prediction: Celtics 123, Pacers 112
- Boston has won 63, or 79.7%, of the 79 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Indiana has been victorious in 20, or 52.6%, of the 38 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jaylen Brown Points Prop: Over 25.5
- Jaylen Brown puts up 23.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the field and 35.4% from downtown with 2.1 made treys per game.
- Thursday’s points prop for Brown is 25.5. That is 2.5 more than his season average.
- Brown has hit the points prop over at a 38-for-77 clip this season.
- The Pacers are the best squad in the NBA in points scored (123.3 per game) but fourth-worst in points allowed (120.2).
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Tyrese Haliburton Points Prop: Under 18.5
- On a per-game basis, Tyrese Haliburton gets the Pacers 20.1 points, 3.9 rebounds and 10.9 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
- The 18.5 points prop bet set for Haliburton on Thursday is 1.6 fewer points than his scoring average on the season (20.1).
- He has hit the over 29 times on a points prop this season (in 71 tries).
- The Celtics have been shining both offensively and defensively this season, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (120.6) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (109.2).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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