Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Western Finals Game 1 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 22, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 20, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) will look to pull off an upset as 4.5-point underdogs in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, and will face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Wednesday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The point total for the contest is 207.

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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Timberwolves -4.5 207

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Injury Report as of May 22

Timberwolves: Mike Conley: Questionable (Calf)

Mavericks: Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Out (Ankle), Maximilian Kleber: Out (Shoulder), Luka Dončić: Probable (Knee/Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (-4.5)
Total Pick Over (207)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Stat Rankings

Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) Mavericks Avg. (Rank)
113 (18th) Points Scored 117.9 (7th)
106.5 (1st) Points Allowed 115.6 (20th)
43.6 (15th) Rebounds 42.9 (21st)
9.4 (24th) Off. Rebounds 9.7 (23rd)
12.6 (15th) 3pt Made 14.6 (3rd)
26.6 (15th) Assists 25.7 (19th)
13.4 (19th) Turnovers 12.1 (7th)

Best Betting Site for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

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Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Mavericks Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 70 33.9 9.2 9.8 1.4 0.5 4.1
Kyrie Irving 58 25.6 5 5.2 1.3 0.5 3
Tim Hardaway Jr. 79 14.4 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 2.7
P.J. Washington 73 12.9 5.6 1.9 1 0.8 1.8
Daniel Gafford 74 11 7.6 1.6 0.9 2.1 0

Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves have 40 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
  • Minnesota’s ATS record as 4.5-point favorites or more is 20-21.
  • The Timberwolves have seen 41 of their 82 games hit the over.
  • Minnesota’s games have had more than 207 points scored on 67 occasions this season.
  • Timberwolves games average 219.5 total points per game this season, 12.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Mavericks have 48 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
  • Against the spread, as a 4.5-point underdog or greater, Dallas is 4-7.
  • Out of 82 Mavericks games so far this season, 36 have hit the over.
  • So far this year, 75 Dallas’ games have featured over 207 points scored.
  • The average total for Mavericks games is 233.5 points, 26.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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