Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 1

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 20, 2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Dallas Mavericks take the court to begin the Western Conference Finals. The Timberwolves are listed as favorites by 4.5 points for the game, which airs on TNT at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is 207.5.

Before you make an informed wager on the matchup, see the best bets available for Wednesday’s game according to our computer predictions.

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Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) to Cover

  • The DraftKings line for this game has the Timberwolves favored by 4.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (7.7 points). Put your money on the Timberwolves.
  • Minnesota has a 40-40-2 record against the spread this season.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread 20 times this season (20-21 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • Dallas has a 48-34-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Mavericks have an ATS record of 4-7 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year.

Think the Timberwolves will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 207.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (16.8 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • In 67 games this season, Minnesota and its opponent have combined for more than 207.5 points.
  • Dallas’ games have gone over 207.5 points on 75 occasions this year.
  • In the Timberwolves’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.
  • A total of 36 Mavericks games this season have hit the over.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-185)

  • Prediction: Timberwolves 116, Mavericks 108
  • This season, Minnesota has won 46 out of the 61 games, or 75.4%, in which it has been favored.
  • Dallas has been victorious in 12, or 38.7%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.

Which team do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Rudy Gobert Rebounds Prop: Over 12.5

  • Rudy Gobert puts up 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per contest.
  • He has averaged 12.9 rebounds per game, 0.4 higher than his prop bet on Wednesday.
  • He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 41 times this season in his 81 games bookmakers set a prop.
  • In 2023-24, the Mavericks are 21st in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1).

Explore all available player props for Rudy Gobert and other Timberwolves players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kyrie Irving Points Prop: Under 21.5

  • On a per-game basis, Kyrie Irving gets the Mavericks 25.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • The 21.5-point total set for Irving on Wednesday is 4.1 fewer points than his season scoring average.
  • He has hit the over 30 times on a points prop this season (in 63 tries).
  • The Timberwolves are posting 113 points per game this year (18th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really shined on defense, surrendering only 106.5 points per game (best).

Check out the prop bets available for Kyrie Irving and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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