Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: Western Semifinals Game 7 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 19, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 18, 2024

The Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves square off in a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites for the game, which airs on TNT at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is 200.5.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -4.5 200.5

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Injury Report as of May 19

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Calf)

Timberwolves: Mike Conley: Questionable (Calf)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+4.5)
Total Pick Over (200.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
114.9 (14th) Points Scored 113 (18th)
109.6 (6th) Points Allowed 106.5 (1st)
44.4 (7th) Rebounds 43.6 (15th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 9.4 (24th)
11.7 (25th) 3pt Made 12.6 (15th)
29.5 (3rd) Assists 26.6 (15th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 13.4 (19th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 79 26.4 12.4 9 1.4 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 59 21.2 4.1 6.5 1 0.7 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 81 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.7
Aaron Gordon 73 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 82 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.2

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets’ record against the spread is 38-42-2.
  • Denver is 25-28-2 as 4.5-point favorites or more.
  • This year, 35 of the Nuggets’ 82 games have gone over the point total.
  • In 76 games this season, Denver and its opponent have combined to score more than 200.5 points.
  • The total for this game is 200.5, and that’s 24 points fewer than the average total in Nuggets games thus far this season.
  • The Timberwolves’ record against the spread is 40-40-2.
  • As a 4.5-point underdog or more, Minnesota is 4-4 against the spread.
  • There have been 41 Timberwolves games (out of 82) that went over the total this year.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over 200.5 points on 70 occasions this season.
  • The average total points scored in Timberwolves games this year (200.5) is 19 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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