The Dallas Mavericks bring a 3-2 lead into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Mavericks are listed as favorites by 4 points for the game, which will be broadcast on ABC at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup has a point total of 207.5.
Aiming to make an informed wager on Saturday’s game? Find out the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Thunder (+4) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Mavericks winning by four, the model has the Thunder taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (5.5 points). Take the Thunder.
- Oklahoma City has a 46-35-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have covered the spread three times this season (3-3 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
- Dallas has gone 48-34-0 ATS this season.
- When playing as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 22-14.
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Total: Over 207.5
- The model predicts a total (230.1 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (207.5 points). Take the over.
- A total of 75 times so far this year, Dallas and its opponent have combined to score more than 207.5 points.
- Oklahoma City’s games have had over 207.5 points 76 times this season.
- Mavericks games have gone over the point total 36 out of 82 times this season.
- Thunder games have hit the over 43 out of 82 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (+150)
- Prediction: Thunder 116, Mavericks 114
- Dallas has entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 37, or 75.5%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has won in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Kyrie Irving averages 25.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- He has grabbed 5.0 rebounds per game, 0.5 higher than his prop bet on Saturday.
- Sportsbooks have set a rebound total for him 63 times this season, and he has hit the over in 29 of those games.
- In 2023-24, the Thunder are fourth-worst in the NBA in rebounds (42 per game) and 23rd in rebounds conceded (44.7).
Explore all available player props for Kyrie Irving and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop: Over 7.5
- On a per-game basis, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gives the Thunder 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists. He also averages 2.0 steals (first in league) and 0.9 blocked shots.
- He averages 2.0 fewer rebounds than his over/under on Saturday (which is 7.5).
- He has grabbed more rebounds than his over/under in 37 of his 78 games with that prop available this season.
- So far this season, the Mavericks are averaging 42.9 rebounds per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and allowing 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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