The Boston Celtics are favored by 16 points heading into a decisive Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at TD Garden on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET on TNT. The Celtics are currently ahead 3-1 in the series. The over/under is set at 206.5 for the matchup.
Aiming to make an informed wager on Wednesday’s game? Dig into the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.
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Spread: Cavaliers (+16) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Celtics taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (14.2 points). Lean towards taking the Cavaliers.
- Cleveland is 38-42-2 ATS this season.
- Boston’s ATS record is 42-36-4 this season.
- The Celtics have been favored by 16 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
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Total: Over 206.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (17.3 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- A total of 76 times so far this year, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 206.5 points.
- Cleveland’s games have finished with over 206.5 points scored 70 times this year.
- The Celtics and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 43 out of 82 times this season.
- So far this year, 40 out of the Cavaliers’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-1600)
- Prediction: Celtics 119, Cavaliers 105
- Boston has won 63, or 79.7%, of the 79 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Cleveland has been victorious in 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jaylen Brown Points Prop: Under 24.5
- Jaylen Brown posts 23.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- The 24.5-point over/under set for Brown on Wednesday is 1.5 higher than his scoring average on the season.
- Brown has had 77 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 38 times.
- Offensively the Cavaliers are the 20th-ranked team in the league (112.6 points per game). On defense they are seventh (110.2 points allowed per game).
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Donovan Mitchell Points Prop: Under 27.5
- Donovan Mitchell is averaging 26.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game. He’s sinking 46.2% of his shots from the field and 36.8% from 3-point range, with 3.3 treys per game.
- The 27.5-point total set for Mitchell on Wednesday is 0.9 more points than his season scoring average.
- So far this season, Mitchell is 25-for-66 at going over the total set for his points prop.
- Everything is clicking for the Celtics, who are scoring 120.6 points per game (second-best in NBA) and allowing 109.2 points per contest (fifth-best).
Check out the prop bets available for Donovan Mitchell and other Cavaliers players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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