Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: Western Semifinals Game 5 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 14, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 13, 2024

The Denver Nuggets enter Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves as 4-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Tuesday begins at 10:30 PM ET on TNT from Ball Arena. The series is tied 2-2. The over/under for the matchup is 206 points.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -4 206

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Injury Report as of May 14

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Calf)

Timberwolves: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+4)
Total Pick Over (206)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
114.9 (14th) Points Scored 113 (18th)
109.6 (6th) Points Allowed 106.5 (1st)
44.4 (7th) Rebounds 43.6 (15th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 9.4 (24th)
11.7 (25th) 3pt Made 12.6 (15th)
29.5 (3rd) Assists 26.6 (15th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 13.4 (19th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 79 26.4 12.4 9 1.4 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 59 21.2 4.1 6.5 1 0.7 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 81 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.7
Aaron Gordon 73 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 82 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.2

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets’ record against the spread is 38-42-2.
  • Against the spread as 4-point favorites or more, Denver is 26-29-2.
  • Out of 82 Nuggets games so far this year, 35 have hit the over.
  • A total of 71 times so far this year, Denver and its opponent have combined to score more than 206 points.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 206 points, 18.5 fewer than the average total in this season’s Nuggets contests.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread 40 times in 82 games.
  • As a 4-point underdog or greater, Minnesota is 4-6 against the spread.
  • The Timberwolves have seen 41 of their 82 games go over the point total.
  • Minnesota’s games have had over 206 points 67 times this year.
  • This season, Timberwolves games have resulted in an average scoring total of 219.5, which is 13.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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