Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 5

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 13, 2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to overcome the odds as 4-point underdogs for Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:30 PM ET on TNT. The series is tied 2-2. The matchup has an over/under of 206 points.

Before you make an informed wager on the contest, take a look at the best bets available for Tuesday’s game according to our computer predictions.

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Spread: Timberwolves (+4) to Cover

  • The model and DraftKings both have the Nuggets taking home the victory, but the model has them winning by slightly less (1.4 points). Lean towards taking the Timberwolves.
  • So far this year, Minnesota has put together a 40-40-2 record against the spread.
  • The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 4-6 when playing as at least 4-point underdogs this season.
  • Denver is 38-42-2 ATS this season.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread 26 times this season (26-29-2 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point favorites.

Think the Timberwolves will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 206

  • The model projects a total (221.0 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (206 points). Take the over.
  • In 71 games this year, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 206 points.
  • So far this season, 67 Minnesota’s games have featured over 206 points scored.
  • A total of 35 out of the Nuggets’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
  • Timberwolves games have gone over the point total 41 out of 82 times this year.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-175)

  • Prediction: Nuggets 111, Timberwolves 110
  • This season, Denver has won 53 out of the 72 games, or 73.6%, in which it has been favored.
  • Minnesota has come away with nine wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.

Which team do you think will end up on top? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Jamal Murray Points Prop: Under 21.5

  • Jamal Murray puts up 21.2 points, 6.5 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game.
  • The 21.2 points Murray scores per game are 0.3 less than his prop total on Tuesday.
  • He has gone over on his points prop on 26 occasions this season (in 65 games with such a prop).
  • The Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA in points scored (113 per game) and best in points allowed (106.5).

Explore all available player props for Jamal Murray and other Nuggets players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Anthony Edwards Points Prop: Under 29.5

  • On a per-game basis, Anthony Edwards gives the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • The 29.5-point over/under for Edwards on Tuesday is 3.6 higher than his season scoring average.
  • Edwards is 38-for-80 at hitting the over on his points prop this season.
  • The Nuggets are scoring 114.9 points per game (14th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 109.6 points per contest (sixth-ranked).

Check out the prop bets available for Anthony Edwards and other Timberwolves players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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