The New York Knicks will look to overcome the odds as 5.5-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The Knicks have a 2-1 series lead. The over/under in the matchup is set at 218.5.
Keep reading for the best bets you can make on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Knicks (+5.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Pacers by 1.7 points, a much smaller margin than the 5.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Knicks to cover.
- New York has a 43-36-3 record against the spread this season.
- The Knicks are 3-7 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
- Indiana is 44-35-3 ATS this season.
- The Pacers have covered the spread 13 times this season (13-11-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 218.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (231.5 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (218.5 points). Bet on the over.
- A total of 74 times so far this season, Indiana and its opponent have combined for more than 218.5 points.
- So far this year, 43 New York’s games have featured over 218.5 points scored.
- In the Pacers’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 42 times.
- In the Knicks’ 82 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 37 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Pacers (-218)
- Prediction: Pacers 117, Knicks 115
- This season, Indiana has been favored 44 times and won 27, or 61.4%, of those games.
- New York has been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win 14 times (40%) in those games.
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Tyrese Haliburton Points Prop: Under 21.5
- Tyrese Haliburton puts up 20.1 points, 3.9 boards and 10.9 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the floor and 36.4% from beyond the arc with 2.8 made treys per game.
- The 20.1 points Haliburton scores per game are 1.4 less than his over/under on Sunday (21.5).
- Haliburton has hit the points prop over at a 29-for-71 clip this season.
- Offensively, the Knicks are the 19th-ranked squad in the NBA (112.8 points per game). Defensively, they are second-best (108.2 points conceded per game).
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Jalen Brunson Points Prop: Over 32.5
- Jalen Brunson is averaging 28.7 points, 3.6 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game. He’s also draining 47.9% of his shots from the field and 40.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 triples per contest.
- Brunson is averaging 28.7 points during the 2023-24 season, 3.8 less than Sunday’s over/under.
- This season Brunson is 40-for-82 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Pacers have been forced to count on their offense, which ranks best in the NBA (123.3 points per game), as they rank fourth-worst in the league defensively with only 120.2 points allowed per contest.
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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