Mavericks vs. Thunder Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 10, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder will look to prove the oddsmakers wrong as slight 2-point underdogs heading into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Saturday, tipping off at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The series is knotted up 1-1. The point total is 218 in the matchup.

Dig into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) in Saturday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the contest.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Thunder (+2) to Cover

  • The model line is much more favorable to the Thunder compared to the DraftKings line, a 4.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Saturday’s game outright. Put your money on the Thunder.
  • Oklahoma City is 46-35-1 against the spread this season.
  • The Thunder have been an underdog by 2 points or more 18 times this year, and covered the spread in 10 of those games.
  • Dallas is 48-34-0 ATS this season.
  • The Mavericks have been favored by 2 points or more 44 times this season, and covered the spread in 28 of those matchups.

Think the Thunder will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 218

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (13.1 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • Dallas and its opponent have broken the 218-point mark 66 times this season.
  • There have been 59 Oklahoma City’s games this year with more than 218 points scored.
  • A total of 36 out of the Mavericks’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
  • In the Thunder’s 82 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 43 times.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Thunder (+120)

  • Prediction: Thunder 117, Mavericks 114
  • Dallas has won 37, or 75.5%, of the 49 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Oklahoma City has come away with 10 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.

Which team do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5

  • Kyrie Irving puts up 25.6 points, 5.2 assists and 5.0 boards per contest.
  • His per-game rebounding average of 5.0 is 0.5 higher than his prop bet on Saturday (4.5).
  • This will be his 64th game this season with a rebound prop and so far he has hit the over 29 times.
  • On the glass, the Thunder are fourth-worst in the league in rebounds (42.0 per game). They are 23rd in rebounds allowed (44.7 per game).

Explore all available player props for Kyrie Irving and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is putting up 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 53.5% of his shots from the floor and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game.
  • He averages 1.0 fewer rebound than his over/under on Saturday (which is 6.5).
  • He has gone over on rebounds in 37 of 78 games with that prop available so far this season.
  • This season, the Mavericks are pulling down 42.9 boards per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and allowing 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).

Check out the prop bets available for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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