The New York Knicks will look to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 7-point underdogs in Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, starting at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Knicks hold a 2-0 series lead. The matchup has a point total of 222.5.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game can help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Knicks (+7) to Cover
- The model favors the Pacers by 1.5 points, a much smaller margin than the 7-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Knicks to cover.
- New York’s ATS record is 43-36-3 this season.
- The Knicks have not covered the spread this year (0-3 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
- Indiana is 44-35-3 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 7-point favorites this season, the Pacers have an ATS record of 11-8-1.
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Total: Over 222.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (9.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Indiana and its opponent have broken the 222.5-point mark 70 times this season.
- So far this season, 39 New York’s games have featured over 222.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 42 out of the Pacers’ 82 games have hit the over.
- The Knicks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 37 out of 82 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Pacers (-298)
- Prediction: Pacers 117, Knicks 115
- Indiana has been the favorite in 44 games this season and won 27 (61.4%) of those contests.
- New York has been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win 14 times (40%) in those games.
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Pascal Siakam Points Prop: Under 21.5
- Pascal Siakam averages 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest, shooting 53.6% from the field and 34.6% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Friday’s points prop bet for Siakam is 21.5 points. That’s 0.2 fewer than his season average of 21.7.
- In 82 games this season with a points prop total, Siakam has gone over the total 35 times.
- In 2023-24, the Knicks are 19th in the NBA offensively (112.8 points scored per game) and second-best defensively (108.2 points allowed).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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