Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 2

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 8, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored by 5 points ahead of Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks at Paycom Center on Thursday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Thunder are currently up 1-0 in the series. The matchup’s over/under is set at 218.5.

If you are looking to gain an edge on Thursday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in the article below (according to our computer predictions).

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Thunder (-5) to Cover

  • Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Thunder winning by a considerably larger margin (8.9 points). Take the Thunder.
  • Oklahoma City has a 46-35-1 record against the spread this season.
  • When playing as at least 5-point favorites this season, the Thunder have an ATS record of 23-14.
  • Dallas has a 48-34-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 5 points or more this season (in nine opportunities).

Think the Thunder will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 218.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (12.6 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • Oklahoma City’s games have finished with more than 218.5 points 58 times so far this year.
  • Dallas’ games have had over 218.5 points 65 times this season.
  • The Thunder and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 43 out of 82 times this season.
  • The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 36 out of 82 times this season.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-198)

  • Prediction: Thunder 120, Mavericks 111
  • This season, Oklahoma City has won 47 out of the 61 games, or 77%, in which it has been favored.
  • Dallas has won in 12, or 38.7%, of the 31 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.

Which team do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop: Over 8.5

  • Chet Holmgren puts up 16.5 points, 2.4 assists and 7.9 boards per contest.
  • He averages 0.6 fewer rebounds than his prop bet Thursday of 8.5.
  • He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 37 times this season in his 81 games sportsbooks set a prop.
  • The Mavericks are 21st in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.9) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1).

Check out all available player props for Chet Holmgren and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5

  • Kyrie Irving is putting up 25.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. He’s making 49.7% of his shots from the floor and 41.1% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 treys per contest (ninth in NBA).
  • He has averaged 0.5 more rebounds per game (5.0) than his prop bet total in Thursday’s game (4.5).
  • He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 29 of his 63 games with a prop this season.
  • The Thunder are pulling down just 42 rebounds per game (fourth-worst in NBA), and they are allowing 44.7 rebounds per contest (23rd-ranked).

Check out the prop bets available for Kyrie Irving and other Mavericks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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