Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: Western Semifinals Game 2 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – May 6, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 5, 2024

The Denver Nuggets ready for Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves as 6.5-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Monday begins at 10:00 PM ET on TNT from Ball Arena. The Timberwolves lead the series 1-0. The matchup’s point total is 208.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -6.5 208

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Injury Report as of May 6

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Calf)

Timberwolves: None

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+6.5)
Total Pick Over (208)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
114.9 (14th) Points Scored 113 (18th)
109.6 (6th) Points Allowed 106.5 (1st)
44.4 (7th) Rebounds 43.6 (15th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 9.4 (24th)
11.7 (25th) 3pt Made 12.6 (15th)
29.5 (3rd) Assists 26.6 (15th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 13.4 (19th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 79 26.4 12.4 9 1.4 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 59 21.2 4.1 6.5 1 0.7 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 81 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.7
Aaron Gordon 73 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 82 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.2

Timberwolves Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 79 25.9 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.5 2.4
Karl-Anthony Towns 62 21.8 8.3 3 0.7 0.7 2.2
Rudy Gobert 76 14 12.9 1.3 0.7 2.1 0
Naz Reid 81 13.5 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 2.1
Mike Conley 76 11.4 2.9 5.9 1.2 0.2 2.4

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-2 this season.
  • Against the spread as 6.5-point favorites or more, Denver is 20-19-1.
  • Out of 82 Nuggets games so far this season, 35 have gone over the total.
  • A total of 68 times so far this season, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 208 points.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 208 points, 16.5 fewer than the average total in this season’s Nuggets contests.
  • The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this year.
  • Minnesota has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 6.5-point underdog or more this season.
  • There have been 41 Timberwolves games (out of 82) that went over the total this year.
  • Minnesota’s games have finished with over 208 points scored 67 times this year.
  • The average total points scored in Timberwolves games this year (208) is 11.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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