The Dallas Mavericks will look to overcome the odds as slight 3.5-point underdogs for Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 9:30 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has an over/under of 218 points.
Trying to gain an edge on Tuesday’s game? Find out the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.
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Spread: Thunder (-3.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Thunder favored by 3.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (8.3 points). Put your money on the Thunder.
- Oklahoma City is 46-35-1 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have been favored by 3.5 points or more 44 times this season, and covered the spread in 27 of those games.
- So far this season, Dallas has put together a 48-34-0 record against the spread.
- The Mavericks have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more 17 times this season, and covered the spread in eight of those matchups.
Think the Thunder will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Total: Over 218
- The model projects a total (231.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (218 points). Take the over.
- In 59 games this year, Oklahoma City and its opponent have combined for more than 218 points.
- There have been 66 Dallas’ games this season with more than 218 points scored.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 43 out of 82 times this season.
- Mavericks games have gone over the point total 36 out of 82 times this year.
Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!
Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-162)
- Prediction: Thunder 120, Mavericks 112
- This season, Oklahoma City has been favored 61 times and won 47, or 77%, of those games.
- Dallas has come away with 12 wins in the 31 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 2.0 steals (first in league) and 0.9 blocks.
- His per-game rebound average — 5.5 — equals his prop bet over/under for Tuesday’s game.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 37 of his 78 games with a prop this season.
- The Mavericks are 21st in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.9) and 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1).
See all available player props for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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