Knicks vs. Pacers Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 1

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 4, 2024

The Indiana Pacers will look to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 5.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Monday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The over/under in the matchup is 217.5.

Before you make an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available for Monday’s game based on our computer predictions.

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Spread: Pacers (+5.5) to Cover

  • The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.1 points) is a little bit less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Knicks, though the data still has them as the favorite.
  • Indiana has gone 44-35-3 ATS this year.
  • When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year, the Pacers have an ATS record of 9-7-1.
  • New York is 43-36-3 against the spread this season.
  • The Knicks have been favored by 5.5 points or more 30 times this season, and covered the spread in 16 of those games.

Think the Pacers will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 217.5

  • The model projects a total (231.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (217.5 points). Take the over.
  • New York’s games have finished with more than 217.5 points 48 times so far this season.
  • Indiana’s games have had over 217.5 points 74 times this season.
  • So far this season, 37 out of the Knicks’ 82 games have hit the over.
  • So far this season, 42 out of the Pacers’ 82 games with an over/under have hit the over.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Knicks (-218)

  • Prediction: Knicks 118, Pacers 114
  • This season, New York has been favored 47 times and won 36, or 76.6%, of those games.
  • Indiana has come away with 20 wins in the 38 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.

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Donte DiVincenzo Points Prop: Over 15.5

  • Donte DiVincenzo posts 15.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, shooting 44.3% from the floor and 40.1% from beyond the arc with 3.5 made treys per game (fourth in NBA).
  • Monday’s points prop bet for DiVincenzo is 15.5 points, equal to his season average.
  • This season, he is 31-for-70 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
  • On offense, the Pacers are the best squad in the league (123.3 points per game). But on defense they are fourth-worst (120.2 points conceded per game).

Explore all available player props for Donte DiVincenzo and other Knicks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Pascal Siakam Points Prop: Under 20.5

  • Pascal Siakam provides 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game for the Pacers.
  • Siakam is averaging 21.7 points in the 2023-24 season, 1.2 higher than Monday’s prop total.
  • This season Siakam is 35-for-82 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
  • The Knicks have been led by their defense, as they rank second-best in the NBA by giving up just 108.2 points per game. They rank 19th in the league in points scored (112.8 per contest).

Check out the prop bets available for Pascal Siakam and other Pacers players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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