The Indiana Pacers will look to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 5.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Monday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The over/under in the matchup is 217.5.
Before you make an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available for Monday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pacers (+5.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.1 points) is a little bit less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Knicks, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- Indiana has gone 44-35-3 ATS this year.
- When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year, the Pacers have an ATS record of 9-7-1.
- New York is 43-36-3 against the spread this season.
- The Knicks have been favored by 5.5 points or more 30 times this season, and covered the spread in 16 of those games.
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Total: Over 217.5
- The model projects a total (231.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (217.5 points). Take the over.
- New York’s games have finished with more than 217.5 points 48 times so far this season.
- Indiana’s games have had over 217.5 points 74 times this season.
- So far this season, 37 out of the Knicks’ 82 games have hit the over.
- So far this season, 42 out of the Pacers’ 82 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Knicks (-218)
- Prediction: Knicks 118, Pacers 114
- This season, New York has been favored 47 times and won 36, or 76.6%, of those games.
- Indiana has come away with 20 wins in the 38 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Donte DiVincenzo Points Prop: Over 15.5
- Donte DiVincenzo posts 15.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, shooting 44.3% from the floor and 40.1% from beyond the arc with 3.5 made treys per game (fourth in NBA).
- Monday’s points prop bet for DiVincenzo is 15.5 points, equal to his season average.
- This season, he is 31-for-70 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- On offense, the Pacers are the best squad in the league (123.3 points per game). But on defense they are fourth-worst (120.2 points conceded per game).
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Pascal Siakam Points Prop: Under 20.5
- Pascal Siakam provides 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game for the Pacers.
- Siakam is averaging 21.7 points in the 2023-24 season, 1.2 higher than Monday’s prop total.
- This season Siakam is 35-for-82 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Knicks have been led by their defense, as they rank second-best in the NBA by giving up just 108.2 points per game. They rank 19th in the league in points scored (112.8 per contest).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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